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MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals (July 31, 2026)

The St. Louis Cardinals (54-55) face the Toronto Blue Jays (50-59) at Rogers Centre on Friday at 7:07pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Kyle Leahy is the probable pitcher for the Cardinals, while Dylan Cease is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -175, while the Cardinals are at +144. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.

  • The Cardinals (-149) have a 59-50 Run Line record this season, while the Blue Jays (+124) hold a record of 52-57.
  • The Cardinals have a 44-61-4 O/U record this season (meaning 44 games have gone over the total runs line, 61 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Blue Jays have a 54-51-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Cardinals are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Blue Jays are averaging only 3.9 (29th).
  • In the field, the Cardinals are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (T16th in the league), while the Blue Jays are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (T16th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Cardinals are at .239 (ranking 20th in the Major leagues), while the Blue Jays are batting .243 (16th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Blue Jays have hit 107 (26th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Cardinals have managed 113 (23rd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Cardinals have recorded 464 RBIs to rank T14th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have recorded 412 RBIs to rank 30th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.15 this season (13th in the Majors), while The Cardinals have an ERA of 4.16 (15th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Cardinals have recorded 838 this season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 967.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .242 against the Blue Jays this season (16th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Cardinals' opponents are at .254 (26th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Cardinals 23-20-66 11-10-39 12-10-27 9-7-19 14-13-47 0-0-0 2-3-5
    Blue Jays 20-34-55 11-19-26 9-15-29 14-21-27 6-13-28 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Cardinals 47-31-31 26-15-19 21-16-12 18-8-9 29-23-22 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Blue Jays 35-48-26 18-24-14 17-24-12 23-24-15 12-24-11 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 58-51 in Cardinals games this season. The Blue Jays have a 52-57 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded a 5-2 victory over the Cardinals at Busch Stadium when these teams last met on June 11, 2025. Ernie Clement was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. The Blue Jays have now won six straight against the Cardinals.