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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates (July 31, 2026)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-55) face the Cincinnati Reds (51-57) at Great American Ball Park on Friday at 6:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Paul Skenes is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Hunter Greene is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Pirates are favored to win at -126, while the Reds are at +104. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Pirates (+135) have a 51-59 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (-163) hold a record of 59-49.
  • The Pirates have a 62-45-3 O/U record this season (meaning 62 games have gone over the total runs line, 45 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 57-51-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging only 4.1 (27th).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 4.7 runs (21st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at an impressive .259 (ranking 2nd in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting an underwhelming .230 (30th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 139 (T6th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 138 (T8th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have been outstanding this season, recording 540 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Reds have performed poorly in this area, recording only 423 RBIs to rank 28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 4.41 this season (23rd in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 4.26 (20th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 1016 this season, ranking T3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 866.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .246 against the Reds this season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .241 (14th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 31-18-61 18-9-30 13-9-31 21-7-31 10-11-30 0-0-0 0-2-8
    Reds 23-29-56 10-13-31 13-16-25 9-8-16 14-21-40 0-0-0 2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 46-36-28 29-12-16 17-24-12 29-16-14 17-20-14 0-0-0 1-3-6
    Reds 34-43-31 17-20-17 17-23-14 12-12-9 22-31-22 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 58-52 in Pirates games this season. The Reds have a 54-54 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Reds recorded a 3-2 victory over the Pirates at Great American Ball Park yesterday. Elly De La Cruz went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.