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MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays (August 5, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (53-61) face the Houston Astros (59-56) at Daikin Park on Wednesday at 2:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jameson Taillon is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Hunter Brown is the probable pitcher for the Astros. The Astros are favored to win at -180, while the Blue Jays are at +148. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.

  • The Blue Jays (-148) have a 55-59 Run Line record this season, while the Astros (+123) hold a record of 60-55.
  • The Blue Jays have a 55-55-4 O/U record this season (meaning 55 games have gone over the total runs line, 55 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Astros have a 61-48-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging +0.8 more at 4.7 runs (10th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (15th in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (25th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .242 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Astros are batting .246 (11th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 156 to rank 3rd. Alternatively, the Blue Jays are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 108 (29th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 425 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 510 RBIs to rank 8th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Astros have an earned run average of 4.61 this season (25th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.07 (12th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 1004 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 1007.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Astros this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .242 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 20-34-60 11-19-29 9-15-31 14-21-30 6-13-30 0-0-0 0-1-9
    Astros 33-30-52 18-12-28 15-18-24 12-11-22 21-19-30 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Blue Jays are +145 to lead after three innings, while the Astros are -188.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 37-49-28 19-25-15 18-24-13 24-25-16 13-24-12 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Astros 39-48-28 24-21-13 15-27-15 16-20-9 23-28-19 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 57-57 in Blue Jays games this season. The Astros have a 49-66 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Astros recorded a 7-2 victory over the Blue Jays at Daikin Park yesterday. Taylor Trammell went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.