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MLB Prop Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres (August 6, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (59-56) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (61-54) at Chase Field on Thursday at 9:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Walker Buehler is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Kohl Drake is the probable pitcher for the Diamondbacks. The Padres opened as favorites but this has since changed, with the Diamondbacks coming into -114 and Padres drifting to -105. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -113.

  • The Padres (+155) have a 57-58 Run Line record this season, while the Diamondbacks (-189) hold a record of 64-51.
  • The Padres have a 53-61-1 O/U record this season (meaning 53 games have gone over the total runs line, 61 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Diamondbacks have a 47-59-9 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Diamondbacks are averaging +0.4 more at 4.6 runs (11th).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (13th in the league), while the Diamondbacks are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (18th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .235 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Diamondbacks are batting .243 (17th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Diamondbacks have hit 111 (27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 122 (20th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Padres have recorded 471 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Diamondbacks have recorded 501 RBIs to rank 11th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Diamondbacks have an earned run average of 4.20 this season (16th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 4.21 (18th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 932 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks rank 30th for total strikeouts, recording 781.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .253 against the Diamondbacks this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .248 (20th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 19-23-73 11-12-34 8-11-37 11-9-31 8-14-42 0-0-2 3-1-6
    Diamondbacks 24-31-60 13-12-29 11-19-29 13-10-25 11-21-35 0-0-2 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Padres are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Diamondbacks are -120.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 37-47-31 21-22-14 15-24-17 14-20-17 23-27-14 1-1-0 3-5-2
    Diamondbacks 35-54-26 22-18-14 12-35-12 21-14-13 14-40-13 1-1-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying +100 and the YRFI is paying -130.

  • The NRFI is 70-45 in Padres games this season. The Diamondbacks have a 52-63 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Diamondbacks recorded a 10-4 victory over the Padres at Chase Field yesterday. Tim Tawa dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs.