MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (August 6, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (58-57) face the Atlanta Braves (69-45) at Truist Park on Thursday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Janson Junk is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Martin Perez is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -134, while the Marlins are at +124. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -114.
- The Marlins (-172) have a 56-59 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+142) hold a record of 63-51.
- The Marlins have a 56-57-2 O/U record this season (meaning 56 games have gone over the total runs line, 57 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 53-53-8 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (T18th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging +0.5 more at 4.9 runs (6th).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (5th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .249 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .249 (8th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 152 (4th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 118 (T22nd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 480 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 536 RBIs to rank T5th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Braves have an earned run average of 3.63 this season (5th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.00 (10th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 961 this season, ranking 16th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 12th for total strikeouts, recording 973.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Braves this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .231 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 23-22-70 | 11-9-37 | 12-13-33 | 11-6-38 | 12-16-32 | 0-0-0 | 2-0-8 |
| Braves | 28-25-61 | 18-8-32 | 10-17-29 | 23-19-41 | 5-6-20 | 0-0-0 | 2-0-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Marlins are +105 to lead after three innings, while the Braves are -135.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 45-42-28 | 25-16-16 | 20-26-12 | 24-13-18 | 21-29-10 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Braves | 50-38-26 | 32-15-11 | 18-23-15 | 43-21-19 | 7-17-7 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +105 and the YRFI is paying -135.
- The NRFI is 63-52 in Marlins games this season. The Braves have a 56-58 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Braves recorded a 4-1 victory over the Marlins at Truist Park yesterday. Mauricio Dubon went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Braves have now won five straight against the Marlins.
