MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates (August 11, 2026)
The Pittsburgh Pirates (58-62) face the Miami Marlins (60-59) at LoanDepot Park on Tuesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Paul Skenes is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Eury Perez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Pirates are favored to win at -120, while the Marlins are at -101. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.
- The Pirates (+144) have a 54-66 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-175) hold a record of 58-61.
- The Pirates have a 66-50-4 O/U record this season (meaning 66 games have gone over the total runs line, 50 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 58-59-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Pirates are averaging 5.0 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging only 4.4 (18th).
- In the field, the Pirates are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (T23rd in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (11th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .256 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .251 (7th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 120 (25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 145 (T10th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 576 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 503 RBIs to rank 18th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.97 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 4.34 (21st).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 1113 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 16th for total strikeouts, recording 997.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .231 against the Marlins this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .242 (15th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 32-22-66 | 19-11-30 | 13-11-36 | 22-9-33 | 10-13-33 | 0-0-0 | 1-4-5 |
| Marlins | 24-23-72 | 12-10-38 | 12-13-34 | 12-7-39 | 12-16-33 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Pirates are -125 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are -105.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 49-40-31 | 30-14-16 | 19-26-15 | 31-18-15 | 18-22-16 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Marlins | 47-44-28 | 27-17-16 | 20-27-12 | 26-14-18 | 21-30-10 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -160 and the YRFI is paying +125.
- The NRFI is 62-58 in Pirates games this season. The Marlins have a 65-54 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded a 4-2 victory over the Pirates at PNC Park when these teams last met on June 14. Bryan Reynolds was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI.
