MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets (August 11, 2026)
The New York Mets (53-67) face the Atlanta Braves (71-48) at Truist Park on Tuesday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Martin Perez is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -131, while the Mets are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.
- The Mets (-194) have a 58-62 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+159) hold a record of 66-53.
- The Mets have a 54-57-9 O/U record this season (meaning 54 games have gone over the total runs line, 57 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 56-55-8 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (T21st in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging +0.7 more at 4.9 runs (6th).
- In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (19th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (6th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .236 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .249 (9th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 159 (4th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 145 (T10th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 484 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 558 RBIs to rank 5th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Braves have an earned run average of 3.64 this season (5th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.11 (15th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 1086 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 11th for total strikeouts, recording 1026.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Braves this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .239 (11th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 27-29-64 | 17-11-31 | 10-18-33 | 20-15-33 | 7-14-31 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Braves | 28-26-65 | 18-9-33 | 10-17-32 | 23-20-43 | 5-6-22 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Mets are +100 to lead after three innings, while the Braves are -130.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 40-53-27 | 20-25-14 | 20-28-13 | 24-27-17 | 16-26-10 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
| Braves | 51-40-28 | 33-16-11 | 18-24-17 | 44-23-19 | 7-17-9 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 60-60 in Mets games this season. The Braves have a 60-59 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded an 8-5 victory over the Braves at Truist Park yesterday. Francisco Lindor was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. The Mets have now won three straight at Truist Park against the Braves.
