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MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays (September 4, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (70-71) face the Kansas City Royals (63-78) at Kauffman Stadium on Friday at 8:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jameson Taillon is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Daniel Lynch is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Royals are favored to win at -120, while the Blue Jays are at +100. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Blue Jays (+158) have a 72-69 Run Line record this season, while the Royals (-192) hold a record of 71-70.
  • The Blue Jays have a 70-66-5 O/U record this season (meaning 70 games have gone over the total runs line, 66 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Royals have a 65-70-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Royals are averaging 4.3 (21st).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Royals are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (25th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .246 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .248 (10th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Royals have hit 146 (23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 133 (28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 539 RBIs to rank 29th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Royals have recorded 577 RBIs to rank 21st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Royals have an earned run average of 4.71 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.92 (9th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 1229 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Royals rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording 1030.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .257 against the Royals this season (28th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .237 (10th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 27-37-77 13-21-38 14-16-39 18-21-35 9-16-42 0-0-0 3-1-6
    Royals 32-35-74 18-18-33 14-17-41 10-13-27 22-22-47 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 46-59-36 22-29-21 24-30-15 28-27-19 18-32-17 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Royals 45-63-33 27-28-14 18-35-19 15-24-11 30-39-22 0-0-0 3-3-4

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 73-68 in Blue Jays games this season. The Royals have a 70-71 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Royals recorded a lopsided 13-2 victory against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre when these teams last met on August 27. Jac Caglianone dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 3 singles and 6 RBIs.