MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs (September 6, 2026)
The Chicago Cubs (81-62) face the Miami Marlins (71-72) at LoanDepot Park on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Clay Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Cubs, while Tyler Phillips is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Cubs are favored to win at -149, while the Marlins are at +123. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.
- These teams share a 71-72 Run Line record this season. The Cubs are +113 to cover the run line while the Marlins are -136.
- The Cubs have a 78-62-3 O/U record this season (meaning 78 games have gone over the total runs line, 62 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 70-70-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Cubs are averaging 5.3 runs per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging only 4.3 (20th).
- In the field, the Cubs are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (13th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (12th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Cubs are at .252 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .247 (14th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Cubs are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 200 to rank 1st. Alternatively, the Marlins are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 146 (25th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Cubs have recorded 722 RBIs to rank 1st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 592 RBIs to rank 20th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.99 this season (12th in the Majors), while The Cubs have an ERA of 4.17 (17th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Cubs have recorded 1106 this season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T18th for total strikeouts, recording 1158.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .233 against the Marlins this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Cubs' opponents are at .244 (17th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 34-28-81 | 23-14-35 | 11-14-46 | 29-16-54 | 5-12-27 | 0-0-0 | 4-0-6 |
| Marlins | 28-25-90 | 15-10-46 | 13-15-44 | 14-7-45 | 14-18-45 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Cubs are -160 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are +124.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 57-44-42 | 36-19-17 | 21-25-25 | 47-25-27 | 10-19-15 | 0-0-0 | 8-0-2 |
| Marlins | 54-53-36 | 33-20-18 | 21-33-18 | 29-16-21 | 25-37-15 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 77-66 in Cubs games this season. The Marlins have an 83-60 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Cubs recorded a 6-5 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. The Cubs have now won four straight against the Marlins. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Griffin Conine went yard in that matchup, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.
