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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays (September 9, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (86-58) face the Atlanta Braves (85-60) at Truist Park on Wednesday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Griffin Jax is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Reynaldo Lopez is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -123, while the Rays are at +102. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.

  • The Rays (-204) have a 79-65 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+167) hold a record of 79-66.
  • The Rays have a 67-73-4 O/U record this season (meaning 67 games have gone over the total runs line, 73 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 63-72-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging 4.6 (9th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (9th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (2nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .261 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .247 (13th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 182 (7th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 153 (22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 622 RBIs to rank T13th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 639 RBIs to rank 10th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have an earned run average of 3.57 this season (3rd in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.80 (8th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 1169 this season, ranking 22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 14th for total strikeouts, recording 1228.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .232 against the Braves this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .231 (4th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 34-28-82 17-13-42 17-15-40 25-21-51 9-7-31 0-0-0 2-1-7
    Braves 33-31-81 22-10-41 11-21-39 25-23-55 8-8-26 0-0-1 0-2-8

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 59-42-43 28-22-22 31-20-21 44-30-23 15-12-20 0-0-0 5-1-4
    Braves 60-52-33 40-20-13 20-32-19 51-30-22 9-22-11 0-0-1 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 76-68 in Rays games this season. The Braves have a 74-71 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 7-1 victory over the Braves at Truist Park yesterday. Junior Caminero was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.