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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies (September 17, 2026)

The Philadelphia Phillies (84-68) face the New York Mets (69-83) at Citi Field on Thursday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Aaron Nola is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -137, while the Phillies are at +114. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Phillies (-177) have a 65-87 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+146) hold a record of 72-80.
  • The Phillies have a 70-73-9 O/U record this season (meaning 70 games have gone over the total runs line, 73 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 69-71-12 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Phillies are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging 4.3 (22nd).
  • In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.6 runs (19th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .241 (ranking 19th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .238 (23rd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 190 (8th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 177 (12th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 661 RBIs to rank 13th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 621 RBIs to rank 23rd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 4.18 this season (16th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 3.99 (11th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 1476 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 6th for total strikeouts, recording 1366.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .241 against the Mets this season (14th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .247 (18th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Phillies 42-36-74 26-15-34 15-21-40 35-26-55 7-10-19 1-0-0 3-3-4
    Mets 37-35-80 22-15-40 15-20-40 26-17-38 11-18-42 0-0-0 4-3-3

Lead After Three Innings

The Phillies are +110 to lead after three innings, while the Mets are -140.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Phillies 69-51-32 37-24-14 31-27-18 56-38-22 13-13-10 1-0-0 5-2-3
    Mets 50-65-37 24-33-20 26-32-17 29-32-20 21-33-17 0-0-0 4-4-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 71-81 in Phillies games this season. The Mets have a 74-78 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a 6-1 victory over the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park when these teams last met on July 19. Francisco Lindor was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 3 RBIs.