MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves (September 19, 2026)
The Atlanta Braves (90-64) face the Houston Astros (77-77) at Daikin Park on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Grant Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Hayden Wesneski is the probable pitcher for the Astros. The Astros are favored to win at -121, while the Braves are at +100. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Braves (+167) have an 83-71 Run Line record this season, while the Astros (-204) hold a record of 79-75.
- The Braves have a 70-73-11 O/U record this season (meaning 70 games have gone over the total runs line, 73 have gone under and 11 have resulted in a push). The Astros have a 74-70-10 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Braves are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging 4.4 (T16th).
- In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (4th in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (24th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at .248 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Astros are batting .239 (22nd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros have hit 206 (3rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 195 (T7th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have recorded 682 RBIs to rank 8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 652 RBIs to rank T17th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Astros have an earned run average of 4.52 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Braves have an ERA of 3.63 (4th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 1286 this season, ranking 16th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 1341.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Astros this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .233 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 35-33-86 | 24-11-43 | 11-22-42 | 27-24-58 | 8-9-28 | 0-0-1 | 2-2-6 |
| Astros | 41-37-76 | 24-14-41 | 17-23-35 | 19-14-34 | 22-23-42 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Braves are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Astros are -120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 60-59-35 | 40-24-14 | 20-35-20 | 51-34-24 | 9-25-11 | 0-0-1 | 0-8-2 |
| Astros | 56-59-39 | 34-27-18 | 22-32-21 | 26-27-14 | 30-32-25 | 0-0-0 | 5-1-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +100 and the YRFI is paying -130.
- The NRFI is 79-75 in Braves games this season. The Astros have a 71-83 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Braves recorded a 6-2 victory over the Astros at Daikin Park yesterday. Matt Olson dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs. The Braves have now won five straight at Daikin Park against the Astros.
