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MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox (September 19, 2026)

The Boston Red Sox (84-70) face the Tampa Bay Rays (93-60) at Tropicana Field on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Payton Tolle is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while Freddy Peralta is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -143, while the Red Sox are at +119. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Red Sox (-193) have a 73-81 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+159) hold a record of 83-70.
  • The Red Sox have a 70-80-4 O/U record this season (meaning 70 games have gone over the total runs line, 80 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 70-79-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Red Sox are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (T19th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.6 (10th).
  • In the field, the Red Sox are allowing only 3.8 runs per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (7th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Red Sox are at .246 (ranking 12th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .260 (1st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 162 (21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have managed 160 (T22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 646 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 665 RBIs to rank 14th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have an earned run average of 3.74 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.60 (3rd).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 1333 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 1243.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Rays this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox's opponents are at .242 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 32-42-80 18-18-39 14-24-41 23-28-57 9-14-23 0-0-0 1-2-7
    Rays 36-29-88 19-14-46 17-15-42 27-22-55 9-7-33 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

The Red Sox are +110 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -140.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 64-58-32 36-27-12 28-31-20 49-37-22 15-21-10 0-0-0 4-5-1
    Rays 63-44-46 31-24-24 32-20-22 47-32-25 16-12-21 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 74-80 in Red Sox games this season. The Rays have an 81-72 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Red Sox recorded a 4-2 victory over the Rays at Tropicana Field yesterday. Roman Anthony was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs. The Red Sox have now won five straight against the Rays.