MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox (September 30, 2026)
The Boston Red Sox face the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in the MLB League Wild Card Round on Wednesday at 8:00pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sonny Gray is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while Max Fried is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -137, while the Red Sox are at +113. The total runs line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -125 and UNDER at +103.
- The Red Sox (-199) have a 76-87 Run Line record since the beginning of the regular season, while the Yankees (+163) hold a record of 88-74.
- The Red Sox have a 73-86-4 O/U record since the beginning of the regular season (meaning 73 games have gone over the total runs line, 86 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 76-80-6 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Red Sox are averaging 4.3 runs per game during the regular season (23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging +0.3 more at 4.6 runs (8th).
- In the field, the Red Sox are allowing only 3.8 runs per game during the regular season (3rd in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.7 runs (2nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages during the regular season, the Red Sox are at .245 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .235 (26th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs during the regular season, the Yankees are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 223 to rank 2nd. Alternatively, the Red Sox are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 163 (26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 658 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB during the regular season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 706 RBIs to rank T10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.24 during the regular season (1st in the Majors), while The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.54 (3rd).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 1398 during the regular season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank T6th for total strikeouts, recording 1450.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .224 against the Yankees during the regular season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox's opponents are at .241 (14th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | 32-45-86 | 18-19-43 | 14-25-43 | 23-28-60 | 9-17-26 | 0-1-0 | 0-3-7 |
| Yankees | 40-36-86 | 22-16-43 | 18-20-43 | 34-25-70 | 6-11-16 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Red Sox are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Yankees are -145.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | 65-64-34 | 36-30-14 | 29-33-20 | 49-39-23 | 16-25-11 | 0-1-0 | 2-6-2 |
| Yankees | 72-47-43 | 35-23-23 | 37-24-20 | 58-36-35 | 14-11-8 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 80-83 in Red Sox games during the regular season. The Yankees have an 84-78 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded a lopsided 9-0 victory against the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Ben Rice was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs, a double and recording 6 RBIs. The Yankees have now won three straight against the Red Sox.
