NBA Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets (October 21, 2025)

The Houston Rockets (0-0) face the Oklahoma City Thunder (0-0) at Paycom Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Thunder are favored to win at -275, currently marked as 6.5-point favorites, while the Rockets are at +220. The total points line is set at 224.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-109 Oklahoma City.

• The Rockets (-110) had a 46-41-2 ATS record last season, while the Thunder (-110) held a record of 66-38-2.
• The Rockets had a 47-40-2 O/U record last season (meaning 47 games went over the total points line, 40 went under and two resulted in a push). The Thunder had a 55-49-2 O/U record last season.

Scoring Insights

• The Rockets scored 114.3 points per game last season (T13th in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder averaged 120.5 (4th).
• Defensively, the Rockets allowed only 109.8 points per game last season (6th in the league), while the Thunder gave up an average of 107.6 points (3rd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams played last season?

Pace

• The Rockets ranked 18th for pace last season, recording 98.6 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder were 6th on that scale with 100.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 38.4% of the Rockets' field goal attempts came from three point range (20th in the league), leaving 61.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Thunder's opponents recorded 45.2% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 54.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Oklahoma City took 41.9% of shots from three (10th), leaving 58.1% from two, while Houston's opponents attempted 39.1% from three (2nd) and 60.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets shot 35.3% from deep last season (21st in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who made 37.4% of their attempts (6th).
• On the opposite end, Houston held opponents to 35.7% of their three-point attempts (11th), while Oklahoma City's opponents hit 34.2% of their shots (1st).

Ball Protection

• The Rockets committed 13.9 turnovers per game last season, ranking 11th in the league, while the Thunder forced 17.0 turnovers (1st).
• Flipping that script, Houston forced 14.3 turnovers (16th), while Oklahoma City committed 11.7 (1st).

Crashing the Boards

• Houston recorded 48.5 rebounds per game last season (1st in the league), including 14.6 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents averaged 44.9 rebounds (20th), 11.6 of which came on the offensive end (23rd).
• Meanwhile, the Thunder averaged 44.8 rebounds (11th) and 10.6 offensive rebounds (20th), while the Rockets allowed 42.1 and 10.6, ranking 4th and 7th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2024/25.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	54-30-5	25-17-3	29-13-2	35-21-3	19-9-2
Oklahoma City	72-31-3	37-17-2	35-14-1	68-29-3	4-2-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2024/25.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	53-33-3	25-18-2	28-15-1	35-22-2	18-11-1
Oklahoma City	73-32-1	41-15-0	32-17-1	69-30-1	4-2-0

HT/FT

• The Rockets completed the HT/FT double in 48.3% of games last season, while the Thunder completed the HT/FT double in 60.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Rockets played in four games that went to overtime last season, while the Thunder appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams scored 110+ points in 34 of Houston's 89 games last season. Meanwhile, 31 of Oklahoma City's 106 games saw both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Houston recorded a 125-111 victory over Oklahoma City at Toyota Center when these teams last met on April 4, 2025. Jalen Green was prominent on that day, recording 34 points, four rebounds, five assists and two steals.