NBA Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors (October 21, 2025)
The Golden State Warriors (0-0) face the Los Angeles Lakers (0-0) at Crypto.com Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Lakers are favored to win at -162, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Warriors are at +136. The total points line is set at 225.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-111 LA Lakers.
- The Warriors (-110) had a 46-46-3 ATS record last season, while the Lakers (-110) held a record of 47-39-1.
- The Warriors had a 48-47-0 O/U record last season (meaning 48 games went over the total points line and 47 went under). The Lakers had a 43-44-0 O/U record last season.
Scoring Insights
- The Warriors scored 113.8 points per game last season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Lakers averaged 113.4 (19th).
- Defensively, the Warriors allowed 110.5 points per game last season (8th in the league), while the Lakers gave up an average of 112.2 points (10th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams played last season?
Pace
- The Warriors ranked 17th for pace last season, recording 98.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Lakers were 21st on that scale with 97.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 46.9% of the Warriors' field goal attempts came from three point range (2nd in the league), leaving 53.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Lakers' opponents recorded 42.7% of their attempts from three (18th) and 57.3% from two.
- Comparatively, the Lakers took 42.5% of shots from three (19th), leaving 57.5% from two, while Golden State's opponents attempted 41.8% from three (8th) and 58.2% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors shot 36.4% from deep last season (16th in the NBA), compared to the Lakers who made 36.6% of their attempts (14th).
- On the opposite end, Golden State held opponents to 36.3% of their three-point attempts (18th), while the Lakers' opponents hit 35.6% of their shots (10th).
Ball Protection
- The Warriors committed 14.0 turnovers per game last season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Lakers forced 13.7 turnovers (T20th).
- Flipping that script, Golden State forced 15.7 turnovers (5th), while the Lakers committed 14.0 (12th).
Crashing the Boards
- Golden State recorded 45.4 rebounds per game last season (7th in the league), including 12.5 offensive boards (5th). Conversely, the Lakers' opponents averaged 43.0 rebounds (9th), 11.2 of which came on the offensive end (16th).
- Meanwhile, the Lakers averaged 42.4 rebounds (26th) and 9.7 offensive rebounds (27th), while the Warriors allowed 44.1 and 10.6, ranking 15th and 8th.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records in 2024/25.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State | 43-45-7 | 22-20-5 | 21-25-2 | 33-22-5 | 10-23-2 | |
| The Lakers | 46-36-5 | 26-18-0 | 20-18-5 | 31-21-1 | 15-15-4 |
First Half Winner
Here are their first half records in 2024/25.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State | 43-50-2 | 19-27-1 | 24-23-1 | 29-30-1 | 14-20-1 |
| The Lakers | 52-33-2 | 31-12-1 | 21-21-1 | 38-14-1 | 14-19-1 |
HT/FT
- The Warriors completed the HT/FT double in 38.9% of games last season, while the Lakers completed the HT/FT double in 50.6% of games.
To Go To Overtime
- The Warriors played in two games that went to overtime last season, while the Lakers also appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams scored 110+ points in 34 of Golden State's 95 games last season. Meanwhile, 30 of the Lakers' 87 games saw both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Golden State recorded a 123-116 victory over the Lakers at Crypto.com Arena when these teams last met on April 3, 2025. Despite being on the losing side, LeBron James was influential on that day, recording 33 points, five rebounds and nine assists. That result snapped the Lakers' three-game winning streak against the Warriors.
