NBA Prop Bets: Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks (February 3, 2026)
The Atlanta Hawks (24-27) face the Miami Heat (27-24) at Kaseya Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Heat opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 1.5, leaving the Heat at -118 and Hawks at -102. The total points line is set at 235.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-117 Miami.
- The Heat (-105) have a 28-22-1 ATS record this season, while the Hawks (-115) hold a record of 25-26-0.
- The Heat have a 26-24-1 O/U record this season (meaning 26 games have gone over the total points line, 24 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Hawks have a 26-25-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Heat are averaging 120.0 points per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Hawks are averaging 117.2 (9th).
- Defensively, the Heat are giving up 117.8 points per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Hawks are giving up an average of 118.3 points (24th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Heat currently rank 1st for pace this season, recording 104.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Hawks sit 2nd on that scale with 102.2 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 39.1% of the Heat's field goal attempts come from three point range (17th in the league), leaving 60.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Hawks' opponents are taking 41.2% of their attempts from three (17th) and 58.8% from two.
- Comparatively, Atlanta takes 42.8% of shots from three (10th), leaving 57.2% from two, while Miami's opponents are attempting 42.6% from three (27th) and 57.4% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Heat are shooting 36.3% from deep in 2025/26 (13th in the NBA), compared to the Hawks who are making 37.2% of their attempts (5th).
- On the opposite end, Miami is holding opponents to 34.8% of their three-point attempts (7th), while Atlanta's opponents are hitting 35.6% of their shots (14th).
Ball Protection
- The Heat are committing 14.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 11th in the league, while the Hawks are forcing 16.0 turnovers (5th).
- Flipping that script, Miami is forcing 15.9 turnovers (6th), while Atlanta is committing 14.5 (16th).
Crashing the Boards
- Miami is pulling down 46.5 rebounds per game this season (2nd in the league), including 11.8 offensive boards (13th). Conversely, Atlanta's opponents are averaging a whopping 46.7 rebounds (26th), 11.7 of which have come on the offensive end (18th).
- Meanwhile, the Hawks are averaging 42.2 rebounds (25th) and 10.0 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Heat are allowing 47.3 and 12.0, ranking 29th and 24th.
First Quarter Winner
Miami is -115 to win the first quarter, while Atlanta is -105. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 31-19-1 | 14-11-0 | 17-8-1 | 18-7-0 | 13-12-1 | 5-5-0 |
| Atlanta | 24-23-4 | 9-10-4 | 15-13-0 | 12-8-3 | 12-15-1 | 2-7-1 |
First Half Winner
Miami is -118 to win the first half and Atlanta is -102. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 31-18-2 | 18-6-1 | 13-12-1 | 19-6-0 | 12-12-2 | 7-3-0 |
| Atlanta | 24-26-1 | 9-14-0 | 15-12-1 | 13-10-0 | 11-16-1 | 4-6-0 |
HT/FT
Miami is +125 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Atlanta is +150.
- The Heat have completed the HT/FT double in 45.1% of games this season, while the Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 33.3% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Tuesday's matchup is +1200 to go to overtime.
- The Heat have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Hawks have also appeared in one.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 33 of Miami's 51 games this season. Meanwhile, 29 of Atlanta's 51 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Miami recorded a 126-111 victory over Atlanta at State Farm Arena when these teams last met on December 26. Despite being on the losing side, Jalen Johnson was dishing dimes on that day, finishing with 10 assists, as well as 24 points and nine rebounds. The Heat have now won four straight against the Hawks.
NBA Injury News – Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat (February 3, 2026)
The Hawks listed Okongwu as OUT for Tuesday's (Feb. 3) game against Miami.
The Hawks listed Porzingis as Out on Tuesday's (Feb. 3) game against the Heat.
The Trail Blazers announced Thursday (Jan. 29) that Reath has undergone season-ending right foot surgery.
Dante will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a torn ACL in his right knee, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.
The Heat listed Herro as OUT for Tuesday's (Feb. 3) game against Atlanta.
The Heat listed Powell as Out for Tuesday's (Feb. 3) game against Atlanta.
The Heat listed Wiggins as Out for Tuesday's (Feb. 3) game against Atlanta.
