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NBA Prop Bets: Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets (February 5, 2026)

The Charlotte Hornets (23-28) face the Houston Rockets (31-18) at Toyota Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Rockets are favored to win at -185, currently marked as 4.5-point favorites, while the Hornets are at +154. The total points line is set at 218.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-107 Houston.

  • The Rockets (-110) have a 22-27-0 ATS record this season, while the Hornets (-110) hold a record of 30-21-0.
  • The Rockets have a 21-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Hornets have a 20-31-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rockets are averaging 115.5 points per game this season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Hornets are averaging 116.0 (15th).
  • Defensively, the Rockets are giving up only 110.1 points per game this season (4th in the league), while the Hornets are giving up an average of 114.2 points (11th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Rockets currently rank 28th for pace this season, recording 96.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Hornets sit 24th on that scale with 97.9 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, just 33.5% of the Rockets' field goal attempts come from three point range (29th in the league), leaving 66.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Hornets' opponents are taking only 40.4% of their attempts from three (T10th) and 59.6% from two.
  • Comparatively, Charlotte takes 46.2% of shots from three (5th), leaving 53.8% from two, while Houston's opponents are attempting 39.8% from three (5th) and 60.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets are shooting 36.9% from deep in 2025/26 (7th in the NBA), compared to the Hornets who are making 37.0% of their attempts (6th).
  • On the opposite end, Houston is holding opponents to 34.8% of their three-point attempts (6th), while Charlotte's opponents are hitting 36.6% of their shots (22nd).

Ball Protection

  • The Rockets are committing 15.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking 21st in the league, while the Hornets are forcing 12.5 turnovers (28th).
  • Flipping that script, Houston is forcing 13.4 turnovers (23rd), while Charlotte is committing 15.7 (28th).

Crashing the Boards

  • Houston is pulling down 49.1 rebounds per game this season (1st in the league), including 16.2 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Charlotte's opponents are averaging 39.6 rebounds (1st), 10.3 of which have come on the offensive end (3rd).
  • Meanwhile, the Hornets are averaging 46.0 rebounds (5th) and 12.3 offensive rebounds (9th), while the Rockets are allowing 39.7 and 11.3, ranking 2nd and 12th.

Back-to-backs

  • Notably, the Hornets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • Charlotte holds an 8-3 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 9-2-0 ATS record and 2-9-0 O/U record.
  • Additionally, Houston has a 6-4 W-L record, 5-5-0 ATS record and 5-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Houston is -135 to win the first quarter, while Charlotte is +114. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Houston 31-16-2 11-10-1 20-6-1 29-14-2 2-2-0 5-4-1
    Charlotte 22-25-4 10-11-3 12-14-1 8-4-0 14-21-4 6-4-0

First Half Winner

Houston is -162 to win the first half and Charlotte is +136. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
    Houston 26-21-2 11-11-0 15-10-2 25-19-1 1-2-1 5-4-1
    Charlotte 26-24-1 13-11-0 13-13-1 7-4-1 19-20-0 7-3-0

HT/FT

Houston is -115 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Charlotte is +210.

  • The Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 40.8% of games this season, while the Hornets have completed the HT/FT double in 35.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

  • The Rockets have played in six games that went to overtime this season, while the Hornets have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 18 of Houston's 49 games this season. Meanwhile, 24 of Charlotte's 51 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Houston recorded a 114-101 victory over Charlotte at Spectrum Center when these teams last met on December 23, 2024. Amen Thompson was prominent on that day, recording 19 points, 11 rebounds, three assists and three blocks. The Rockets have now won three straight at Spectrum Center against the Hornets.

NBA Injury News – Charlotte Hornets @ Houston Rockets (February 5, 2026)

Charlotte Hornets - Injury Report
KJ Simpson (Hip) – Out

The Hornets listed Simpson as Out for Thursday's (Feb. 5) game against the Rockets.

Tidjane Salaun (Illness) – Day To Day

The Hornets listed Salaun as Questionable for Thursday's (Feb. 5) game against the Rockets.

Houston Rockets - Injury Report
Tari Eason (Injury Management) – Day To Day

The Rockets have listed Eason as Questionable for Thursday's (Feb. 5) game against the Hornets.

Jae'Sean Tate (Wrist) – Out

The Rockets have listed Tate as OUT for Thursday's (Feb. 5) game against the Hornets.

Steven Adams (Ankle) – Out For Season

The Rockets said on Wednesday (Jan. 28) that Adams underwent season-ending ankle surgery.

Fred VanVleet (ACL) – Out For Season

The Rockets said on Monday (Sept. 22) that VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign, per Shams Charania of ESPN.