NBA Prop Bets: San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings (February 21, 2026)

The Sacramento Kings (12-45) face the San Antonio Spurs (39-17) at Moody Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 17.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 18.5, leaving the Spurs at -1800 and Kings at +1000. The total points line is set at 230.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 124-106 San Antonio.

• The Spurs (-108) have a 32-23-1 ATS record this season, while the Kings (-112) hold a record of 21-35-1.
• The Spurs have a 23-33-0 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total points line and 33 have gone under). The Kings have a 27-30-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Spurs are averaging 118.2 points per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Kings are averaging only 109.9 (29th).
• Defensively, the Spurs are giving up only 111.8 points per game this season (5th in the league), while the Kings are giving up an average of 120.8 points (28th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Spurs currently rank 12th for pace this season, recording 100.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Kings sit 17th on that scale with 99.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 41.9% of the Spurs' field goal attempts come from three point range (14th in the league), leaving 58.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Kings' opponents are taking 40.3% of their attempts from three (9th) and 59.7% from two.
• Comparatively, Sacramento takes 34.1% of shots from three (30th), leaving 65.9% from two, while San Antonio's opponents are attempting 40.3% from three (13th) and 59.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Spurs are shooting 34.7% from deep in 2025/26 (23rd in the NBA), compared to the Kings who are making 34.1% of their attempts (28th).
• On the opposite end, San Antonio is holding opponents to 36.0% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Sacramento's opponents are hitting 36.4% of their shots (20th).

Ball Protection

• The Spurs are committing 13.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 5th in the league, while the Kings are forcing 14.1 turnovers (17th).
• Flipping that script, San Antonio is forcing 13.5 turnovers (25th), while Sacramento is committing 14.6 (16th).

Crashing the Boards

• San Antonio is pulling down 46.6 rebounds per game this season (3rd in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (17th). Conversely, Sacramento's opponents are averaging 44.8 rebounds (18th), 11.4 of which have come on the offensive end (14th).
• Meanwhile, the Kings are averaging only 41.4 rebounds (26th) and 11.0 offensive rebounds (19th), while the Spurs are allowing an impressive 43.0 and 10.5, ranking 10th and 4th.

First Quarter Winner

San Antonio is -395 to win the first quarter, while Sacramento is +310. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	39-16-1	20-6-0	19-10-1	28-10-1	11-6-0	8-2-0
Sacramento	20-34-3	15-13-1	5-21-2	3-3-0	17-31-3	4-6-0

First Half Winner

San Antonio is -750 to win the first half and Sacramento is +525. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	38-18-0	19-7-0	19-11-0	26-13-0	12-5-0	5-5-0
Sacramento	16-39-2	9-19-1	7-20-1	2-3-1	14-36-1	1-9-0

HT/FT

San Antonio is -1400 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Sacramento is +1500.

• The Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 51.8% of games this season, while the Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 12.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +3000 to go to overtime.

• The Spurs have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Kings have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 27 of San Antonio's 55 games this season. Meanwhile, 27 of Sacramento's 57 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

San Antonio recorded a 123-110 victory over Sacramento at Frost Bank Center when these teams last met on November 16. De'Aaron Fox facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 28 points and 11 assists.