NBA Prop Bets: Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks (February 22, 2026)

The Dallas Mavericks (19-36) face the Indiana Pacers (15-42) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Mavericks opened as 2.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 1.5, leaving the Mavericks at -118 and Pacers at -102. The total points line is set at 237.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-118 Dallas.

• The Pacers (-115) have a 28-29-0 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-105) hold a record of 24-30-1.
• The Pacers have a 24-33-0 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total points line and 33 have gone under). The Mavericks have a 24-31-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Pacers are averaging 111.2 points per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging 113.9 (22nd).
• Defensively, the Pacers are giving up 118.7 points per game this season (24th in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 117.5 points (21st).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Pacers currently rank 9th for pace this season, recording 100.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 4th on that scale with 101.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 41.5% of the Pacers' field goal attempts come from three point range (17th in the league), leaving 58.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 38.2% of their attempts from three (10th) and 61.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Dallas takes only 35.3% of shots from three (28th), leaving 64.7% from two, while Indiana's opponents are attempting a similarly low 37.2% from three (2nd) and 62.8% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Pacers are shooting 34.7% from deep in 2025/26 (23rd in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making 34.2% of their attempts (27th).
• On the opposite end, Indiana is holding opponents to 34.3% of their three-point attempts (2nd), while Dallas' opponents are hitting 33.9% of their shots (1st).

Ball Protection

• The Pacers are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.6 turnovers (23rd).
• Flipping that script, Indiana is forcing 13.9 turnovers (18th), while Dallas is committing 14.7 (17th).

Crashing the Boards

• Indiana is pulling down 42.7 rebounds per game this season (23rd in the league), including 10.3 offensive boards (22nd). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging 47.2 rebounds (29th), 12.5 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
• Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 44.7 rebounds (11th) and 10.1 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Pacers are allowing 47.1 and 11.2, ranking 27th and 9th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Indiana	21-35-1	12-16-0	9-19-1	4-5-0	17-30-1	4-6-0
Dallas	17-36-2	12-17-1	5-19-1	8-9-0	9-27-2	0-10-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Indiana	21-35-1	10-17-1	11-18-0	4-5-0	17-30-1	3-6-1
Dallas	18-36-1	11-18-1	7-18-0	8-9-0	10-27-1	0-10-0

HT/FT

Indiana is +140 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +130.

• The Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 17.5% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 21.8% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +1200 to go to overtime.

• The Pacers have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 29 of Indiana's 57 games this season. Meanwhile, 30 of Dallas' 55 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Dallas recorded a 107-105 victory over Indiana at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on October 29. Despite being on the losing side, Pascal Siakam came up big on that day, scoring 27 points and adding 13 rebounds. That result snapped the Pacers' four-game winning streak against the Mavericks.