NBA Prop Bets: New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors (February 24, 2026)

The Golden State Warriors (30-27) face the New Orleans Pelicans (16-42) at Smoothie King Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Warriors are favored to win at -120, currently marked as 1.5-point favorites, while the Pelicans are at +100. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-113 Golden State.

• The Pelicans (-110) have a 29-27-2 ATS record this season, while the Warriors (-110) hold a record of 26-31-0.
• The Pelicans have a 30-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Warriors have a 33-23-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Pelicans are averaging 114.8 points per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors are averaging 115.6 (15th).
• Defensively, the Pelicans are giving up a whopping 120.6 points per game this season (27th in the league), while the Warriors are giving up an average of 113.9 points (11th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Pelicans currently rank 13th for pace this season, recording 100.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors sit 15th on that scale with 99.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, just 35.6% of the Pelicans' field goal attempts come from three point range (26th in the league), leaving 64.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents are taking only 40.2% of their attempts from three (8th) and 59.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State takes 51.0% of shots from three (1st), leaving 49.0% from two, while New Orleans' opponents are attempting a similarly high 45.0% from three (29th) and 55.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Pelicans are shooting 34.6% from deep in 2025/26 (25th in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who are making 36.3% of their attempts (11th).
• On the opposite end, New Orleans is holding opponents to 35.3% of their three-point attempts (10th), while Golden State's opponents are hitting 35.2% of their shots (9th).

Ball Protection

• The Pelicans are committing 14.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 9th in the league, while the Warriors are forcing 16.0 turnovers (4th).
• Flipping that script, New Orleans is forcing 14.6 turnovers (15th), while Golden State is committing 15.5 (25th).

Crashing the Boards

• New Orleans is pulling down 43.6 rebounds per game this season (16th in the league), including 12.2 offensive boards (8th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents are averaging 44.9 rebounds (19th), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (18th).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors are averaging 42.5 rebounds (25th) and 10.9 offensive rebounds (21st), while the Pelicans are allowing 45.9 and 12.5, ranking 25th and 29th.

First Quarter Winner

New Orleans is -115 to win the first quarter, while Golden State is -105. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
New Orleans	24-32-2	13-18-0	11-14-2	6-3-0	18-29-2	6-4-0
Golden State	23-30-4	13-15-2	10-15-2	17-18-4	6-12-0	5-4-1

First Half Winner

New Orleans is -105 to win the first half and Golden State is -115. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
New Orleans	21-36-1	12-18-1	9-18-0	5-4-0	16-32-1	3-7-0
Golden State	33-24-0	18-12-0	15-12-0	25-14-0	8-10-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

New Orleans is +145 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Golden State is +130.

• The Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 15.5% of games this season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 42.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1200 to go to overtime.

• The Pelicans have played in five games that went to overtime this season, while the Warriors have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 33 of New Orleans' 58 games this season. Meanwhile, 30 of Golden State's 57 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 104-96 victory over New Orleans at Chase Center when these teams last met on November 29. Jimmy Butler was dishing dimes on that day, finishing with 10 assists, as well as 24 points and eight rebounds. The Warriors have now won six straight against the Pelicans.