NBA Prop Bets: Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors (February 28, 2026)

The Toronto Raptors (34-25) face the Washington Wizards (16-42) at Capital One Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Raptors opened as 14.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 13.5, leaving the Raptors at -850 and Wizards at +575. The total points line is set at 230.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-108 Toronto.

• The Wizards (-110) have a 24-34-0 ATS record this season, while the Raptors (-110) hold a record of 31-28-0.
• The Wizards have a 30-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Raptors have a 23-36-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Wizards are averaging 111.9 points per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Raptors are averaging 113.6 (23rd).
• Defensively, the Wizards are giving up a whopping 122.8 points per game this season (29th in the league), while the Raptors are giving up an average of 111.8 points (8th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Wizards currently rank 7th for pace this season, recording 101.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Raptors sit 20th on that scale with 98.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 40.0% of the Wizards' field goal attempts come from three point range (19th in the league), leaving 60.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Raptors' opponents are taking 42.9% of their attempts from three (18th) and 57.1% from two.
• Comparatively, Toronto takes 37.4% of shots from three (24th), leaving 62.6% from two, while Washington's opponents are attempting 41.7% from three (23rd) and 58.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Wizards are shooting 35.1% from deep in 2025/26 (20th in the NBA), compared to the Raptors who are making 34.6% of their attempts (24th).
• On the opposite end, Washington is holding opponents to 36.6% of their three-point attempts (22nd), while Toronto's opponents are hitting 34.7% of their shots (5th).

Ball Protection

• The Wizards are committing 15.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking T25th in the league. The Raptors may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they're forcing 16.0 turnovers per contest (5th).
• Flipping that script, Washington is forcing 13.7 turnovers (21st), while Toronto is committing 13.9 (8th).

Crashing the Boards

• Washington is pulling down 43.4 rebounds per game this season (17th in the league), including 11.5 offensive boards (14th). Conversely, Toronto's opponents are averaging 43.7 rebounds (13th), 11.1 of which have come on the offensive end (10th).
• Meanwhile, the Raptors are averaging 43.0 rebounds (23rd) and 11.4 offensive rebounds (15th), while the Wizards are allowing 48.1 and 13.4, ranking 30th and 30th.

First Quarter Winner

Washington is +225 to win the first quarter, while Toronto is -278. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Washington	17-39-2	11-17-2	6-22-0	1-2-1	16-37-1	2-8-0
Toronto	32-25-2	17-14-0	15-11-2	21-13-1	11-12-1	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Washington is +330 to win the first half and Toronto is -425. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Washington	18-40-0	11-19-0	7-21-0	2-2-0	16-38-0	2-8-0
Toronto	35-24-0	19-12-0	16-12-0	23-12-0	12-12-0	6-4-0

HT/FT

Washington is +850 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Toronto is -500.

• The Wizards have completed the HT/FT double in 22.4% of games this season, while the Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 44.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +2500 to go to overtime.

• The Wizards have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Raptors have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 31 of Washington's 58 games this season. Meanwhile, 22 of Toronto's 59 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Washington recorded an upset 138-117 victory over Toronto at Capital One Arena when these teams last met on December 26. Despite being on the losing side, Immanuel Quickley was prominent on that day, recording 25 points, four rebounds, five assists and two steals. That result snapped the Raptors' three-game winning streak against the Wizards.