NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers (February 28, 2026)

The Los Angeles Lakers (34-24) face the Golden State Warriors (31-28) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Lakers are favored to win at -170, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Warriors are at +142. The total points line is set at 229.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-113 LA Lakers.

• The Warriors (-102) have a 27-32-0 ATS record this season, while the Lakers (-118) hold a record of 28-28-2.
• The Warriors have a 34-24-1 O/U record this season (meaning 34 games have gone over the total points line, 24 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Lakers have a 31-27-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 115.8 points per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Lakers are averaging 115.5 (17th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 113.8 points per game this season (11th in the league), while the Lakers are giving up an average of 115.9 points (17th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 15th for pace this season, recording 99.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Lakers sit 21st on that scale with 98.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 50.9% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (1st in the league), leaving 49.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Lakers' opponents are taking 41.8% of their attempts from three (15th) and 58.2% from two.
• Comparatively, the Lakers takes only 39.8% of shots from three (25th), leaving 60.2% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting a similarly low 40.3% from three (9th) and 59.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 36.2% from deep in 2025/26 (11th in the NBA), compared to the Lakers who are making 35.2% of their attempts (19th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 35.1% of their three-point attempts (10th), while the Lakers' opponents are hitting 36.5% of their shots (20th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.6 turnovers per game this season, ranking 27th in the league, while the Lakers are forcing 14.5 turnovers (15th).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 16.0 turnovers (4th), while the Lakers are committing 14.8 (19th).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down just 42.9 rebounds per game this season (24th in the league), including 11.1 offensive boards (20th). Conversely, the Lakers' opponents are averaging a paltry 40.9 rebounds (3rd), 10.8 of which have come on the offensive end (6th).
• Meanwhile, the Lakers are averaging 40.8 rebounds (28th) and 9.5 offensive rebounds (27th), while the Warriors are allowing 44.8 and 11.8, ranking 19th and 20th.

First Quarter Winner

Golden State is +110 to win the first quarter, while the Lakers are -130. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	24-31-4	13-15-2	11-16-2	18-19-4	6-12-0	5-4-1
LA Lakers	25-30-3	11-15-2	14-15-1	20-13-3	5-17-0	5-4-1

First Half Winner

Golden State is +120 to win the first half and the Lakers are -142. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	34-25-0	18-12-0	16-13-0	26-15-0	8-10-0	5-5-0
LA Lakers	23-32-3	12-16-0	11-16-3	17-18-1	6-14-2	4-5-1

HT/FT

Golden State is +195 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, the Lakers are -105.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 42.4% of games this season, while the Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in 36.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Lakers have not played in a game that went to overtime this season. Comparatively, the Warriors have appeared in two such contests.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 31 of Golden State's 59 games this season. Meanwhile, 29 of the Lakers' 58 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

The Lakers recorded a 105-99 victory over Golden State at Crypto.com Arena when these teams last met on February 7. LeBron James was dishing dimes on that day, finishing with 10 assists, as well as 20 points and seven rebounds.