NBA Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings (March 1, 2026)

The Sacramento Kings (14-47) face the Los Angeles Lakers (35-24) at Crypto.com Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Lakers opened as 13.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 12.5, leaving the Lakers at -625 and Kings at +455. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 124-111 LA Lakers.

• The Lakers (-105) have a 29-28-2 ATS record this season, while the Kings (-115) hold a record of 24-36-1.
• The Lakers have a 32-27-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 27 have gone under). The Kings have a 31-30-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Lakers are averaging 115.7 points per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Kings are averaging only 110.4 (29th).
• Defensively, the Lakers are giving up 115.6 points per game this season (17th in the league), while the Kings are giving up an average of 121.1 points (28th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Lakers currently rank 21st for pace this season, recording 98.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Kings sit 16th on that scale with 99.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, just 39.9% of the Lakers' field goal attempts come from three point range (24th in the league), leaving 60.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Kings' opponents are taking only 40.1% of their attempts from three (7th) and 59.9% from two.
• Comparatively, Sacramento takes 33.9% of shots from three (30th), leaving 66.1% from two, while the Lakers' opponents are attempting 41.9% from three (16th) and 58.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Lakers are shooting 35.4% from deep in 2025/26 (17th in the NBA), compared to the Kings who are making 33.8% of their attempts (29th).
• On the opposite end, the Lakers are holding opponents to 36.3% of their three-point attempts (21st), while Sacramento's opponents are hitting 36.6% of their shots (22nd).

Ball Protection

• The Lakers are committing 14.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking T17th in the league, while the Kings are forcing 14.3 turnovers (17th).
• Flipping that script, the Lakers are forcing 14.5 turnovers (15th), while Sacramento is committing 14.3 (12th).

Crashing the Boards

• The Lakers are pulling down 40.9 rebounds per game this season (28th in the league), including 9.5 offensive boards (27th). Conversely, Sacramento's opponents are averaging 44.7 rebounds (18th), 11.3 of which have come on the offensive end (14th).
• Meanwhile, the Kings are averaging only 41.5 rebounds (26th) and 11.2 offensive rebounds (18th), while the Lakers are allowing an impressive 40.8 and 10.8, ranking 3rd and 6th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Kings are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Sacramento holds a 3-8 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-7-0 ATS record and 8-3-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, the Lakers have a 5-6 W-L record, 3-8-0 ATS record and 6-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

The Lakers are -245 to win the first quarter, while Sacramento is +200. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	26-30-3	11-15-2	15-15-1	21-13-3	5-17-0	5-4-1
Sacramento	22-36-3	15-13-1	7-23-2	3-3-0	19-33-3	6-4-0

First Half Winner

The Lakers are -355 to win the first half and Sacramento is +280. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
LA Lakers	24-32-3	12-16-0	12-16-3	18-18-1	6-14-2	4-5-1
Sacramento	18-41-2	9-19-1	9-22-1	2-3-1	16-38-1	3-7-0

HT/FT

The Lakers are -400 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Sacramento is +700.

• The Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in 37.3% of games this season, while the Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 14.8% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +2500 to go to overtime.

• The Lakers have not played in a game that went to overtime this season. Comparatively, the Kings have appeared in three such contests.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 29 of the Lakers' 59 games this season. Meanwhile, 30 of Sacramento's 61 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Sacramento recorded an upset 124-112 victory over the Lakers at Golden 1 Center when these teams last met on January 12. Despite being on the losing side, Luka Doncic dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 42 points and four steals. That result snapped the Lakers' six-game winning streak against the Kings.