NBA Prop Bets: Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets (March 2, 2026)
The Houston Rockets (37-22) face the Washington Wizards (16-43) at Capital One Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 16.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 15.5, leaving the Rockets at -1200 and Wizards at +750. The total points line is set at 224.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-104 Houston.
- The Wizards (-110) have a 25-34-0 ATS record this season, while the Rockets (-110) hold a record of 27-32-0.
- The Wizards have a 31-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 31 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Rockets have a 25-34-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Wizards are averaging 112.2 points per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Rockets are averaging 114.5 (21st).
- Defensively, the Wizards are giving up a whopping 123.0 points per game this season (29th in the league), while the Rockets are giving up an average of 109.2 points (3rd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Wizards currently rank 7th for pace this season, recording 101.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Rockets sit 29th on that scale with 95.8 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 39.9% of the Wizards' field goal attempts come from three point range (19th in the league), leaving 60.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Rockets' opponents are taking 39.9% of their attempts from three (5th) and 60.1% from two.
- Comparatively, Houston takes 34.6% of shots from three (29th), leaving 65.4% from two, while Washington's opponents are attempting 41.5% from three (22nd) and 58.5% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Wizards are shooting 35.3% from deep in 2025/26 (19th in the NBA), compared to the Rockets who are making 36.9% of their attempts (6th).
- On the opposite end, Washington is holding opponents to 36.6% of their three-point attempts (23rd), while Houston's opponents are hitting 34.5% of their shots (3rd).
Ball Protection
- The Wizards are committing 15.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 26th in the league, while the Rockets are forcing 13.5 turnovers (24th).
- Flipping that script, Washington is forcing 13.7 turnovers (21st), while Houston is committing 15.4 (25th).
Crashing the Boards
- Washington is pulling down 43.3 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 11.5 offensive boards (14th). Conversely, Houston's opponents are averaging 39.8 rebounds (2nd), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (18th).
- Meanwhile, the Rockets are averaging an impressive 48.2 rebounds (1st) and 15.3 offensive rebounds (1st), while the Wizards are allowing 47.9 and 13.3, ranking 30th and 30th.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 18-39-2 | 12-17-2 | 6-22-0 | 1-2-1 | 17-37-1 | 3-7-0 |
| Houston | 35-21-3 | 15-11-1 | 20-10-2 | 33-18-2 | 2-3-1 | 4-5-1 |
First Half Winner
Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 19-40-0 | 12-19-0 | 7-21-0 | 2-2-0 | 17-38-0 | 3-7-0 |
| Houston | 32-25-2 | 14-13-0 | 18-12-2 | 30-22-1 | 2-3-1 | 6-4-0 |
HT/FT
- The Wizards have completed the HT/FT double in 22.0% of games this season, while the Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 39.0% of games.
To Go To Overtime
- The Wizards have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Rockets have appeared in six.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Washington's 59 games this season. Meanwhile, 18 of Houston's 59 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Houston recorded a 135-112 blowout victory against Washington at Toyota Center when these teams last met on November 12. Despite being on the losing side, Alex Sarr came up big on that day, scoring 25 points and adding 11 rebounds. The Rockets have now won six straight against the Wizards.
NBA Injury News – Houston Rockets @ Washington Wizards (March 2, 2026)
The Rockets said on Saturday (Feb. 28) that Smith Jr. will miss 2 more games.
The Rockets reported on Monday (Feb. 23) that Tate will miss at least 2 weeks.
The Rockets said on Wednesday (Jan. 28) that Adams underwent season-ending ankle surgery.
The Rockets said on Monday (Sept. 22) that VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
The Wizards listed Young as OUT for Monday's (Mar. 2) game against Houston
The Wizards said on Thursday (Feb. 12) that Sarr will miss around 2 weeks due to a hamstring injury.
The Wizards listed George as Questionable for Monday's (Mar. 2) game against Houston
The Wizards listed Vukcevic as Questionable for Monday's (Mar. 2) game against Houston
The Wizards listed Russell as OUT for Monday's (Mar. 2) game against Houston
The Wizards listed Gill as Questionable for Monday's (Mar. 2) game against Houston
The Wizards listed Black as OUT for Monday's (Mar. 2) game against Houston
The Wizards said on Friday (Feb. 6) that Davis is expected to sit out the remainder of the 2025-26 season, per Chris Haynes of NBA TV.
The Wizards announced Thursday that Sarr has been diagnosed with a right hamstring strain and is expected to face a two-week recovery timeline.
