NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics (March 2, 2026)

The Boston Celtics (40-20) face the Milwaukee Bucks (26-33) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Celtics are favored to win at -310, currently marked as 7.5-point favorites, while the Bucks are at +250. The total points line is set at 214.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 111-104 Boston.

• The Bucks (-110) have a 27-32-0 ATS record this season, while the Celtics (-110) hold a record of 35-25-0.
• The Bucks have a 25-34-0 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total points line and 34 have gone under). The Celtics have a 22-38-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Bucks are averaging 111.8 points per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Celtics are averaging 115.0 (19th).
• Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 115.7 points per game this season (17th in the league), while the Celtics are giving up an average of 107.4 points (1st).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 97.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Celtics sit 30th on that scale with 94.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 43.8% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (12th in the league), leaving 56.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Celtics' opponents are taking 44.6% of their attempts from three (24th) and 55.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Boston takes 46.5% of shots from three (2nd), leaving 53.5% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting a similarly high 44.7% from three (27th) and 55.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 38.9% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Celtics who are making 36.4% of their attempts (9th).
• On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 36.6% of their three-point attempts (22nd), while Boston's opponents are hitting 36.0% of their shots (17th).

Ball Protection

• The Bucks are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Celtics are forcing 12.8 turnovers (28th).
• Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing only 13.1 turnovers (26th), while Boston is committing just 12.2 (1st).

Crashing the Boards

• Milwaukee is pulling down just 41.2 rebounds per game this season (27th in the league), including 8.8 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Boston's opponents are averaging a paltry 41.8 rebounds (6th), 11.3 of which have come on the offensive end (12th).
• Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging 46.1 rebounds (6th) and 12.8 offensive rebounds (6th), while the Bucks are allowing 44.6 and 11.0, ranking 18th and 8th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Bucks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Milwaukee holds a 6-3 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 6-3-0 ATS record and 4-5-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Boston has a 6-1 W-L record, 6-1-0 ATS record and 4-3-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
• Notably, the Celtics are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Notably, the Bucks and Celtics are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Milwaukee	25-30-4	11-15-2	14-15-2	10-11-1	15-19-3	4-5-1
Boston	36-20-4	18-10-1	18-10-3	26-14-3	10-6-1	5-4-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Milwaukee	24-35-0	10-18-0	14-17-0	9-13-0	15-22-0	7-3-0
Boston	40-17-3	19-8-2	21-9-1	31-10-2	9-7-1	8-2-0

HT/FT

• The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 27.1% of games this season, while the Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 51.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Celtics have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 26 of Milwaukee's 59 games this season. Meanwhile, 21 of Boston's 60 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Boston recorded a 107-79 blowout victory against Milwaukee at TD Garden when these teams last met on February 1. Jaylen Brown came up big on that day, scoring 30 points and adding 13 rebounds. The Celtics have now won seven straight at TD Garden against the Bucks.