NBA Prop Bets: Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks (March 6, 2026)
The New York Knicks (41-23) face the Denver Nuggets (39-24) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Knicks opened as 1.5-point favorites, but the Nuggets have moved into favoritism at -115, with the spread currently set at 1.5. The Knicks are -105. The total points line is set at 229.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-114 Denver.
- The Nuggets (-102) have a 35-28-0 ATS record this season, while the Knicks (-118) hold a record of 35-28-1.
- The Nuggets have a 38-24-1 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total points line, 24 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Knicks have a 30-33-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Nuggets are averaging 120.4 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Knicks are averaging 116.8 (10th).
- Defensively, the Nuggets are giving up 116.0 points per game this season (19th in the league), while the Knicks are giving up an average of 110.7 points (5th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Nuggets currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 97.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Knicks sit 24th on that scale with 97.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 40.4% of the Nuggets' field goal attempts come from three point range (21st in the league), leaving 59.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Knicks' opponents are taking 44.5% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 55.5% from two.
- Comparatively, New York takes 43.7% of shots from three (9th), leaving 56.3% from two, while Denver's opponents are attempting 42.2% from three (22nd) and 57.8% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Nuggets are shooting 39.3% from deep in 2025/26 (1st in the NBA), compared to the Knicks who are making 37.4% of their attempts (5th).
- On the opposite end, Denver is holding opponents to 35.1% of their three-point attempts (9th), while New York's opponents are hitting 35.7% of their shots (15th).
Ball Protection
- The Nuggets are committing 13.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 3rd in the league, while the Knicks are forcing 14.4 turnovers (16th).
- Flipping that script, Denver is forcing only 12.1 turnovers (30th), while New York is committing just 13.6 (4th).
Crashing the Boards
- Denver is pulling down 43.2 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 9.7 offensive boards (26th). Conversely, New York's opponents are averaging 41.5 rebounds (5th), 10.0 of which have come on the offensive end (1st).
- Meanwhile, the Knicks are averaging 46.0 rebounds (7th) and 12.8 offensive rebounds (6th), while the Nuggets are allowing 42.6 and 11.3, ranking 8th and 14th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Knicks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- New York holds a 6-5 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 6-5-0 ATS record and 5-6-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Denver has a 6-5 W-L record, 5-6-0 ATS record and 8-3-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
First Quarter Winner
Denver is -112 to win the first quarter, while New York is -108. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 39-22-2 | 20-9-0 | 19-13-2 | 28-14-1 | 11-8-1 | 6-4-0 |
| New York | 27-34-3 | 16-16-1 | 11-18-2 | 22-27-3 | 5-7-0 | 6-4-0 |
First Half Winner
Denver is -108 to win the first half and New York is -112. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 36-24-3 | 20-9-0 | 16-15-3 | 27-15-1 | 9-9-2 | 6-4-0 |
| New York | 35-29-0 | 20-13-0 | 15-16-0 | 30-22-0 | 5-7-0 | 5-5-0 |
HT/FT
Denver is +125 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New York is +140.
- The Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 41.3% of games this season, while the Knicks have completed the HT/FT double in 45.3% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Friday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.
- The Nuggets have played in six games that went to overtime this season, while the Knicks have appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 39 of Denver's 63 games this season. Meanwhile, 26 of New York's 63 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
New York recorded a 134-127 overtime victory over Denver at Madison Square Garden when these teams last met on February 4. The Knicks have now won three straight against the Nuggets. Jalen Brunson erupted for 42 points on that day.
NBA Injury News – New York Knicks @ Denver Nuggets (March 6, 2026)
The Knicks have listed Hart as Questionable for Friday's (Mar. 6) game against the Nuggets.
McBride will undergo surgery for a core muscle injury and may be sidelined until the playoffs, according to James L. Edwards III of The Athletic.
Watson is expected to miss at least four weeks with his Grade 2 right hamstring strain, according to Michael Scotto of USA Today.
The Nuggets said that Gordon is targeting a return to Friday's (Mar. 6) game versus the Knicks, per Sam Amick of The Athletic.
Johnson did not play on Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Lakers.
Jones did not play on Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Lakers.
