NBA Prop Bets: Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans (March 6, 2026)

The New Orleans Pelicans (20-44) face the Phoenix Suns (35-27) at Mortgage Matchup Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Suns opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.5, leaving the Suns at -175 and Pelicans at +145. The total points line is set at 228.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-112 Phoenix.

• The Suns (-115) have a 36-24-2 ATS record this season, while the Pelicans (-105) hold a record of 33-29-2.
• The Suns have a 25-36-1 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total points line, 36 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Pelicans have a 33-31-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Suns are averaging 112.0 points per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Pelicans are averaging 115.1 (17th).
• Defensively, the Suns are giving up only 111.1 points per game this season (6th in the league), while the Pelicans are giving up an average of 120.2 points (27th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Suns currently rank 26th for pace this season, recording 97.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pelicans sit 11th on that scale with 100.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 45.1% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (5th in the league), leaving 54.9% from two. Notably, the Pelicans' opponents are taking 44.7% of their attempts from three (29th) and 55.3% from two.
• Comparatively, New Orleans takes only 35.9% of shots from three (26th), leaving 64.1% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting a similarly low 41.1% from three (6th) and 58.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 35.9% from deep in 2025/26 (15th in the NBA), compared to the Pelicans who are making 34.4% of their attempts (26th).
• On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 34.1% of their three-point attempts (1st), while New Orleans' opponents are hitting 34.9% of their shots (7th).

Ball Protection

• The Suns are committing 14.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 20th in the league, while the Pelicans are forcing 14.6 turnovers (15th).
• Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 16.4 turnovers (3rd), while New Orleans is committing 14.3 (13th).

Crashing the Boards

• Phoenix is pulling down 43.5 rebounds per game this season (17th in the league), including 13.2 offensive boards (4th). Conversely, New Orleans' opponents are averaging 45.7 rebounds (25th), 12.6 of which have come on the offensive end (29th).
• Meanwhile, the Pelicans are averaging 43.9 rebounds (15th) and 12.3 offensive rebounds (8th), while the Suns are allowing 44.3 and 12.1, ranking 16th and 27th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Suns are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Phoenix holds a 4-6 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-5-0 ATS record and 5-5-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, New Orleans has a 0-6 W-L record, 1-5-0 ATS record and 3-3-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
• Notably, the Pelicans are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Notably, the Suns and Pelicans are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.

First Quarter Winner

Phoenix is -148 to win the first quarter, while New Orleans is +124. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Phoenix	29-30-3	16-16-1	13-14-2	16-14-0	13-16-3	2-7-1
New Orleans	27-35-2	14-18-0	13-17-2	7-5-0	20-30-2	5-5-0

First Half Winner

Phoenix is -155 to win the first half and New Orleans is +130. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	31-29-2	15-16-2	16-13-0	18-11-1	13-18-1	2-7-1
New Orleans	25-38-1	13-18-1	12-20-0	8-4-0	17-34-1	5-5-0

HT/FT

Phoenix is -115 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New Orleans is +205.

• The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 41.9% of games this season, while the Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 20.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

• The Suns have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Pelicans have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of Phoenix's 62 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of New Orleans' 64 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Phoenix recorded a 123-114 victory over New Orleans at Smoothie King Center when these teams last met on December 27. Despite being on the losing side, Derik Queen was influential on that day, recording 21 points, 11 rebounds and three assists. The Suns have now won four straight against the Pelicans.