NBA Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers (March 6, 2026)

The Indiana Pacers (15-47) face the Los Angeles Lakers (37-25) at Crypto.com Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Lakers opened as 10.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 9.5, leaving the Lakers at -410 and Pacers at +320. The total points line is set at 235.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-113 LA Lakers.

• The Lakers (-102) have a 31-29-2 ATS record this season, while the Pacers (-118) hold a record of 28-34-0.
• The Lakers have a 32-29-1 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line, 29 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Pacers have a 28-34-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Lakers are averaging 115.8 points per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Pacers are averaging only 111.3 (28th).
• Defensively, the Lakers are giving up 115.3 points per game this season (15th in the league), while the Pacers are giving up an average of 119.7 points (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Lakers currently rank 20th for pace this season, recording 98.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pacers sit 7th on that scale with 101.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, just 39.9% of the Lakers' field goal attempts come from three point range (24th in the league), leaving 60.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Pacers' opponents are taking only 37.2% of their attempts from three (3rd) and 62.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Indiana takes 41.7% of shots from three (16th), leaving 58.3% from two, while the Lakers' opponents are attempting 41.5% from three (13th) and 58.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Lakers are shooting 35.6% from deep in 2025/26 (16th in the NBA), compared to the Pacers who are making 34.8% of their attempts (21st).
• On the opposite end, the Lakers are holding opponents to 36.2% of their three-point attempts (20th), while Indiana's opponents are hitting 34.7% of their shots (3rd).

Ball Protection

• The Lakers are committing 14.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 18th in the league, while the Pacers are forcing 13.8 turnovers (19th).
• Flipping that script, the Lakers are forcing 14.7 turnovers (14th), while Indiana is committing 14.5 (14th).

Crashing the Boards

• The Lakers are pulling down 40.9 rebounds per game this season (29th in the league), including 9.5 offensive boards (27th). Conversely, Indiana's opponents are averaging 46.8 rebounds (27th), 11.0 of which have come on the offensive end (8th).
• Meanwhile, the Pacers are averaging only 42.3 rebounds (25th) and 10.2 offensive rebounds (23rd), while the Lakers are allowing an impressive 41.0 and 10.8, ranking 3rd and 5th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Pacers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Indiana holds a 3-7 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-6-0 ATS record and 4-6-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, the Lakers have a 5-6 W-L record, 3-8-0 ATS record and 6-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

The Lakers are -192 to win the first quarter, while Indiana is +160. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	27-32-3	12-16-2	15-16-1	22-14-3	5-18-0	6-3-1
Indiana	23-37-2	14-17-1	9-20-1	4-5-0	19-32-2	3-6-1

First Half Winner

The Lakers are -270 to win the first half and Indiana is +220. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	26-33-3	14-16-0	12-17-3	20-18-1	6-15-2	6-3-1
Indiana	21-40-1	10-21-1	11-19-0	4-5-0	17-35-1	2-8-0

HT/FT

The Lakers are -220 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Indiana is +400.

• The Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in 38.7% of games this season, while the Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 16.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.

• The Lakers have not played in a game that went to overtime this season. Comparatively, the Pacers have appeared in two such contests.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 30 of the Lakers' 62 games this season. Meanwhile, 31 of Indiana's 62 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

The Lakers recorded a 120-119 victory over Indiana at Gainbridge Fieldhouse when these teams last met on March 26, 2025. Luka Doncic was lights out from deep on that day, finishing with 34 points and six triples.