NBA Prop Bets: Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors (March 9, 2026)

The Golden State Warriors (32-31) face the Utah Jazz (19-45) at Delta Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Warriors are favored to win at -205, currently marked as 4.5-point favorites, while the Jazz are at +170. The total points line is set at 226.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-111 Golden State.

• The Jazz (-102) have a 34-30-0 ATS record this season, while the Warriors (-118) hold a record of 29-34-0.
• The Jazz have a 36-27-1 O/U record this season (meaning 36 games have gone over the total points line, 27 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Warriors have a 36-26-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Jazz are averaging 117.4 points per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors are averaging only 115.0 (19th).
• Defensively, the Jazz are giving up a whopping 125.0 points per game this season (30th in the league), while the Warriors are giving up an average of 113.9 points (12th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Jazz currently rank 4th for pace this season, recording 101.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors sit 17th on that scale with 99.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 41.3% of the Jazz's field goal attempts come from three point range (16th in the league), leaving 58.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents are taking 40.4% of their attempts from three (8th) and 59.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State takes 50.7% of shots from three (1st), leaving 49.3% from two, while Utah's opponents are attempting a similarly high 45.7% from three (30th) and 54.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Jazz are shooting 34.5% from deep in 2025/26 (23rd in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who are making 35.9% of their attempts (14th).
• On the opposite end, Utah is holding opponents to 37.2% of their three-point attempts (29th), while Golden State's opponents are hitting 35.4% of their shots (11th).

Ball Protection

• The Jazz are committing 15.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 26th in the league. The Warriors may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they're forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest (5th).
• Flipping that script, Utah is forcing 14.1 turnovers (18th), while Golden State is committing 15.5 (T24th).

Crashing the Boards

• Utah is pulling down 44.0 rebounds per game this season (13th in the league), including 11.9 offensive boards (11th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents are averaging 45.0 rebounds (19th), 11.8 of which have come on the offensive end (21st).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors are averaging 42.9 rebounds (23rd) and 11.3 offensive rebounds (16th), while the Jazz are allowing 45.0 and 11.7, ranking 20th and 20th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Utah	26-36-2	16-14-2	10-22-0	3-4-0	23-32-2	6-4-0
Golden State	26-33-4	14-16-2	12-17-2	18-19-4	8-14-0	5-4-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Utah	24-39-1	15-17-0	9-22-1	3-3-1	21-36-0	5-5-0
Golden State	36-27-0	19-13-0	17-14-0	26-15-0	10-12-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

• The Jazz have completed the HT/FT double in 17.2% of games this season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 41.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Jazz have played in five games that went to overtime this season, while the Warriors have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 43 of Utah's 64 games this season. Meanwhile, 32 of Golden State's 63 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 140-124 victory over Utah at Delta Center when these teams last met on January 28. Despite being on the losing side, Keyonte George was prominent on that day, recording 19 points, seven rebounds, seven assists and two steals. The Warriors have now won three straight against the Jazz.