NBA Prop Bets: New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors (March 11, 2026)

The Toronto Raptors (36-28) face the New Orleans Pelicans (21-45) at Smoothie King Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Raptors opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 2.5, leaving the Raptors at -130 and Pelicans at +110. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-116 Toronto.

• The Pelicans (-115) have a 35-29-2 ATS record this season, while the Raptors (-105) hold a record of 32-32-0.
• The Pelicans have a 35-31-0 O/U record this season (meaning 35 games have gone over the total points line and 31 have gone under). The Raptors have a 24-40-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Pelicans are averaging 115.5 points per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Raptors are averaging 113.5 (22nd).
• Defensively, the Pelicans are giving up a whopping 120.2 points per game this season (27th in the league), while the Raptors are giving up an average of 111.7 points (8th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Pelicans currently rank 11th for pace this season, recording 100.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Raptors sit 21st on that scale with 98.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 35.7% of the Pelicans' field goal attempts come from three point range (26th in the league), leaving 64.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Raptors' opponents are taking 42.3% of their attempts from three (14th) and 57.7% from two.
• Comparatively, Toronto takes 37.1% of shots from three (25th), leaving 62.9% from two, while New Orleans' opponents are attempting 45.0% from three (29th) and 55.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Pelicans are shooting 34.3% from deep in 2025/26 (26th in the NBA), compared to the Raptors who are making 34.4% of their attempts (25th).
• On the opposite end, New Orleans is holding opponents to 34.9% of their three-point attempts (7th), while Toronto's opponents are hitting 34.8% of their shots (3rd).

Ball Protection

• The Pelicans are committing 14.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 12th in the league, while the Raptors are forcing 16.0 turnovers (4th).
• Flipping that script, New Orleans is forcing 14.7 turnovers (14th), while Toronto is committing 13.8 (7th).

Crashing the Boards

• New Orleans is pulling down 43.9 rebounds per game this season (14th in the league), including 12.4 offensive boards (8th). Conversely, Toronto's opponents are averaging 43.7 rebounds (13th), 11.1 of which have come on the offensive end (8th).
• Meanwhile, the Raptors are averaging 42.4 rebounds (24th) and 11.1 offensive rebounds (18th), while the Pelicans are allowing 45.6 and 12.6, ranking 24th and 29th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Pelicans are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• New Orleans holds a 3-9 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 6-6-0 ATS record and 7-5-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Toronto has a 7-6 W-L record, 7-6-0 ATS record and 4-9-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

New Orleans is +100 to win the first quarter, while Toronto is -120. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
New Orleans	28-36-2	14-19-0	14-17-2	7-6-0	21-30-2	5-5-0
Toronto	33-28-3	18-15-0	15-13-3	22-14-1	11-14-2	3-6-1

First Half Winner

New Orleans is +102 to win the first half and Toronto is -122. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
New Orleans	26-39-1	14-18-1	12-21-0	9-4-0	17-35-1	5-5-0
Toronto	36-28-0	20-13-0	16-15-0	24-13-0	12-15-0	4-6-0

HT/FT

New Orleans is +160 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Toronto is +110.

• The Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 21.2% of games this season, while the Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 42.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Pelicans have played in five games that went to overtime this season, while the Raptors have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 38 of New Orleans' 66 games this season. Meanwhile, 23 of Toronto's 64 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Toronto recorded a 113-104 victory over New Orleans at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on January 27, 2025. Scottie Barnes was prominent on that day, recording 21 points, 11 rebounds, eight assists and three steals.