NBA Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings vs Charlotte Hornets (March 11, 2026)

The Charlotte Hornets (33-33) face the Sacramento Kings (16-50) at Golden 1 Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Hornets are favored to win at -750, currently marked as 12.5-point favorites, while the Kings are at +525. The total points line is set at 224.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-106 Charlotte.

• The Kings (-108) have a 26-39-1 ATS record this season, while the Hornets (-112) hold a record of 41-25-0.
• The Kings have a 32-34-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 34 have gone under). The Hornets have a 25-41-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Kings are averaging 110.7 points per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Hornets are averaging +5.0 more at 115.7 points (14th).
• Defensively, the Kings are giving up a whopping 120.9 points per game this season (28th in the league), while the Hornets are giving up an average of 112.3 points (10th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Kings currently rank 14th for pace this season, recording 99.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Hornets sit 25th on that scale with 97.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, just 33.4% of the Kings' field goal attempts come from three point range (30th in the league), leaving 66.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Hornets' opponents are taking only 40.5% of their attempts from three (7th) and 59.5% from two.
• Comparatively, Charlotte takes 47.7% of shots from three (3rd), leaving 52.3% from two, while Sacramento's opponents are attempting 40.5% from three (10th) and 59.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Kings are shooting an underwhelming 33.5% from deep in 2025/26 (30th in the NBA), compared to the Hornets who are making 37.8% of their attempts (3rd).
• On the opposite end, Sacramento is holding opponents to 36.7% of their three-point attempts (25th), while Charlotte's opponents are hitting 36.2% of their shots (20th).

Ball Protection

• The Kings are committing just 14.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 10th in the league. As such, the Hornets aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 12.7 turnovers per contest (27th).
• Flipping that script, Sacramento is forcing 14.3 turnovers (17th), while Charlotte is committing 15.6 (26th).

Crashing the Boards

• Sacramento is pulling down just 42.0 rebounds per game this season (26th in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (16th). Conversely, Charlotte's opponents are averaging a paltry 39.5 rebounds (1st), 10.2 of which have come on the offensive end (2nd).
• Meanwhile, the Hornets are averaging 46.3 rebounds (4th) and 12.8 offensive rebounds (6th), while the Kings are allowing 44.9 and 11.3, ranking 18th and 14th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Kings are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Sacramento holds a 3-8 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-7-0 ATS record and 8-3-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Charlotte has a 6-5 W-L record, 7-4-0 ATS record and 3-8-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
• Notably, the Hornets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Notably, the Kings and Hornets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.

First Quarter Winner

Sacramento is +195 to win the first quarter, while Charlotte is -238. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Sacramento	25-38-3	18-14-1	7-24-2	3-4-0	22-34-3	6-4-0
Charlotte	31-30-5	15-13-3	16-17-2	13-8-1	18-22-4	5-4-1

First Half Winner

Sacramento is +310 to win the first half and Charlotte is -395. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Sacramento	19-45-2	10-22-1	9-23-1	2-4-1	17-41-1	3-7-0
Charlotte	35-29-2	17-14-0	18-15-2	14-6-2	21-23-0	7-3-0

HT/FT

Sacramento is +700 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Charlotte is -425.

• The Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 15.2% of games this season, while the Hornets have completed the HT/FT double in 39.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +2800 to go to overtime.

• The Kings have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Hornets have also appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Sacramento's 66 games this season. Meanwhile, 28 of Charlotte's 66 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Sacramento recorded a 125-102 blowout victory against Charlotte at Spectrum Center when these teams last met on April 4, 2025. Domantas Sabonis was influential on that day, recording 24 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists. The Kings have now won three straight against the Hornets.