NBA Prop Bets: Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks (March 14, 2026)

The Milwaukee Bucks (27-38) face the Atlanta Hawks (35-31) at State Farm Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Hawks are favored to win at -290, currently marked as 7.5-point favorites, while the Bucks are at +235. The total points line is set at 230.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 119-112 Atlanta.

The Hawks (-118) have a 34-32-0 ATS record this season, while the Bucks (-102) hold a record of 28-37-0.
The Hawks have a 32-34-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 34 have gone under). The Bucks have a 28-37-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Hawks are averaging 117.7 points per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Bucks are averaging only 111.0 (28th).
Defensively, the Hawks are giving up 116.9 points per game this season (21st in the league), while the Bucks are giving up an average of 115.9 points (17th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Hawks currently rank 2nd for pace this season, recording 101.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Bucks sit 23rd on that scale with 97.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 42.7% of the Hawks' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 57.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Bucks' opponents are taking 45.2% of their attempts from three (28th) and 54.8% from two.
Comparatively, Milwaukee takes 44.0% of shots from three (14th), leaving 56.0% from two, while Atlanta's opponents are attempting 40.8% from three (17th) and 59.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Hawks are shooting 36.8% from deep in 2025/26 (6th in the NBA), compared to the Bucks who are making 38.5% of their attempts (2nd).
On the opposite end, Atlanta is holding opponents to 35.7% of their three-point attempts (14th), while Milwaukee's opponents are hitting 36.8% of their shots (26th).

Ball Protection

The Hawks are committing 14.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 12th in the league, while the Bucks are forcing 13.1 turnovers (26th).
Flipping that script, Atlanta is forcing 15.9 turnovers (6th), while Milwaukee is committing 14.6 (17th).

Crashing the Boards

Atlanta is pulling down 43.3 rebounds per game this season (18th in the league), including 10.7 offensive boards (22nd). Conversely, Milwaukee's opponents are averaging 45.0 rebounds (18th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (11th).
Meanwhile, the Bucks are averaging 41.1 rebounds (27th) and 8.7 offensive rebounds (30th), while the Hawks are allowing 46.1 and 11.5, ranking 26th and 17th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Atlanta	33-29-4	16-13-4	17-16-0	18-10-3	15-19-1	7-3-0
Milwaukee	27-34-4	13-18-2	14-16-2	12-11-1	15-23-3	4-5-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Atlanta	33-31-2	16-16-1	17-15-1	20-11-0	13-20-2	7-3-0
Milwaukee	27-38-0	13-20-0	14-18-0	11-13-0	16-25-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

The Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 39.4% of games this season, while the Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 26.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

The Hawks have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Bucks have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 36 of Atlanta's 66 games this season. Meanwhile, 28 of Milwaukee's 65 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Atlanta recorded a 131-113 victory over Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum when these teams last met on March 4. Despite being on the losing side, Ryan Rollins took over on that day, finishing with 13 points, 12 assists and three steals. The Hawks have now won three straight at Fiserv Forum against the Bucks.