NBA Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets (March 14, 2026)

The Denver Nuggets (41-26) face the Los Angeles Lakers (41-25) at Crypto.com Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Nuggets opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 2.5, leaving the Nuggets at -142 and the Lakers at +120. The total points line is set at 243.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 123-120 Denver.

The Lakers (-108) have a 35-29-2 ATS record this season, while the Nuggets (-112) hold a record of 38-29-0.
The Lakers have a 34-31-1 O/U record this season (meaning 34 games have gone over the total points line, 31 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Nuggets have a 41-25-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Lakers are averaging 116.3 points per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Nuggets are averaging +4.3 more at 120.6 points (1st).
Defensively, the Lakers are giving up 115.1 points per game this season (14th in the league), while the Nuggets are giving up an average of 116.5 points (19th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Lakers currently rank 20th for pace this season, recording 98.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Nuggets sit 22nd on that scale with 98.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 40.1% of the Lakers' field goal attempts come from three point range (23rd in the league), leaving 59.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Nuggets' opponents are taking 42.2% of their attempts from three (22nd) and 57.8% from two.
Comparatively, Denver takes 40.4% of shots from three (21st), leaving 59.6% from two, while the Lakers' opponents are attempting 41.4% from three (12th) and 58.6% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Lakers are shooting 35.9% from deep in 2025/26 (15th in the NBA), compared to the Nuggets who are making 39.1% of their attempts (1st).
On the opposite end, the Lakers are holding opponents to 35.7% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Denver's opponents are hitting 35.2% of their shots (9th).

Ball Protection

The Lakers are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 15th in the league, while the Nuggets are forcing 12.0 turnovers (30th).
Flipping that script, the Lakers are forcing 14.6 turnovers (14th), while Denver is committing 13.0 (3rd).

Crashing the Boards

The Lakers are pulling down just 41.0 rebounds per game this season (28th in the league), including 9.6 offensive boards (27th). Conversely, Denver's opponents are averaging a paltry 42.7 rebounds (8th), 11.3 of which have come on the offensive end (13th).
Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging 43.3 rebounds (19th) and 9.7 offensive rebounds (26th), while the Lakers are allowing 41.1 and 10.8, ranking 4th and 6th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
LA Lakers	29-33-4	14-17-3	15-16-1	23-14-4	6-19-0	6-3-1
Denver	42-23-2	22-9-0	20-14-2	30-14-1	12-9-1	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
LA Lakers	29-33-4	17-16-1	12-17-3	22-18-1	7-15-3	7-1-2
Denver	37-27-3	21-10-0	16-17-3	28-16-1	9-11-2	3-7-0

HT/FT

The Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in 40.9% of games this season, while the Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 40.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

The Lakers have not played in a game that went to overtime this season. Comparatively, the Nuggets have appeared in six such contests.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of the Lakers' 66 games this season. Meanwhile, 41 of Denver's 67 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Denver recorded a 120-113 victory over the Lakers at Ball Arena when these teams last met on March 5. Nikola Jokic was everywhere on that day, finishing with a 28-point, 12-rebound, 13-assist triple-double.