NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers (March 15, 2026)

The Indiana Pacers (15-52) face the Milwaukee Bucks (27-39) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Bucks opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 7.5, leaving the Bucks at -298 and Pacers at +240. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-110 Milwaukee.

• The Bucks (-115) have a 28-38-0 ATS record this season, while the Pacers (-105) hold a record of 29-38-0.
• The Bucks have a 28-38-0 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line and 38 have gone under). The Pacers have a 31-36-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Bucks are averaging 110.8 points per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Pacers are averaging 111.0 (27th).
• Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 116.0 points per game this season (17th in the league), while the Pacers are giving up an average of 119.7 points (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 97.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pacers sit 8th on that scale with 101.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 44.1% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (14th in the league), leaving 55.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Pacers' opponents are taking 37.1% of their attempts from three (2nd) and 62.9% from two.
• Comparatively, Indiana takes 41.8% of shots from three (15th), leaving 58.2% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting 45.1% from three (28th) and 54.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 38.5% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Pacers who are making an underwhelming 34.3% of their attempts (26th).
• On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 36.8% of their three-point attempts (26th), while Indiana's opponents are doing it tougher, hitting 35.0% of their shots (7th).

Ball Protection

• The Bucks are committing 14.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 19th in the league, while the Pacers are forcing 13.8 turnovers (21st).
• Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing 13.1 turnovers (26th), while Indiana is committing 14.4 (14th).

Crashing the Boards

• Milwaukee is pulling down 41.0 rebounds per game this season (28th in the league), including 8.6 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Indiana's opponents are averaging 46.9 rebounds (29th), 10.9 of which have come on the offensive end (7th).
• Meanwhile, the Pacers are averaging 42.2 rebounds (25th) and 10.2 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Bucks are allowing 45.0 and 11.2, ranking 19th and 12th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Pacers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Indiana holds a 3-8 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-6-0 ATS record and 4-7-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Milwaukee has a 5-9 W-L record, 6-8-0 ATS record and 5-9-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Milwaukee is -170 to win the first quarter, while Indiana is +142. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	27-35-4	13-18-2	14-17-2	12-11-1	15-24-3	3-6-1
Indiana	24-39-4	14-18-2	10-21-2	4-5-0	20-34-4	3-4-3

First Half Winner

Milwaukee is -225 to win the first half and Indiana is +185. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	27-39-0	13-20-0	14-19-0	11-13-0	16-26-0	4-6-0
Indiana	22-44-1	10-23-1	12-21-0	4-5-0	18-39-1	1-9-0

HT/FT

Milwaukee is -190 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Indiana is +330.

• The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 25.8% of games this season, while the Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 14.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +1700 to go to overtime.

• The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Pacers have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 28 of Milwaukee's 66 games this season. Meanwhile, 33 of Indiana's 67 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Milwaukee recorded a 105-99 victory over Indiana at Fiserv Forum when these teams last met on February 6. Kevin Porter Jr. was prominent on that day, recording 23 points, seven rebounds, eight assists and three steals. The Bucks have now won three straight against the Pacers.