NBA Prop Bets: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks (March 15, 2026)

The Dallas Mavericks (22-45) face the Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26) at Rocket Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Cavaliers opened as 16.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 14.5, leaving the Cavaliers at -1200 and Mavericks at +750. The total points line is set at 233.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 124-110 Cleveland.

• The Cavaliers (-112) have a 28-39-0 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-108) hold a record of 29-37-1.
• The Cavaliers have a 32-35-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 35 have gone under). The Mavericks have a 28-39-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Cavaliers are averaging 119.1 points per game this season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging only 112.9 (24th).
• Defensively, the Cavaliers are giving up 114.6 points per game this season (13th in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 118.0 points (23rd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Cavaliers currently rank 13th for pace this season, recording 100.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 4th on that scale with 101.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 44.6% of the Cavaliers' field goal attempts come from three point range (6th in the league), leaving 55.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 38.8% of their attempts from three (13th) and 61.2% from two.
• Comparatively, Dallas takes 35.1% of shots from three (28th), leaving 64.9% from two, while Cleveland's opponents are attempting 42.1% from three (19th) and 57.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Cavaliers are shooting 36.1% from deep in 2025/26 (12th in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making 33.9% of their attempts (28th).
• On the opposite end, Cleveland is holding opponents to 36.7% of their three-point attempts (25th), while Dallas' opponents are doing it tougher, hitting 34.2% of their shots (1st).

Ball Protection

• The Cavaliers are committing just 14.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 10th in the league. As such, the Mavericks aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 13.1 turnovers per contest (25th).
• Flipping that script, Cleveland is forcing 15.7 turnovers (9th), while Dallas is committing 14.9 (20th).

Crashing the Boards

• Cleveland is pulling down 44.3 rebounds per game this season (12th in the league), including 11.9 offensive boards (11th). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging 46.6 rebounds (27th), 12.2 of which have come on the offensive end (27th).
• Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 44.9 rebounds (10th) and 10.3 offensive rebounds (T23rd), while the Cavaliers are allowing 43.7 and 11.6, ranking 15th and 19th.

First Quarter Winner

Cleveland is -310 to win the first quarter, while Dallas is +250. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Cleveland	34-29-4	15-17-2	19-12-2	29-21-3	5-8-1	5-4-1
Dallas	22-43-2	12-21-1	10-22-1	11-11-0	11-32-2	3-7-0

First Half Winner

Cleveland is -520 to win the first half and Dallas is +390. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Cleveland	34-32-1	17-17-0	17-15-1	29-23-1	5-9-0	6-3-1
Dallas	22-44-1	11-22-1	11-22-0	11-11-0	11-33-1	2-8-0

HT/FT

Cleveland is -750 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +1000.

• The Cavaliers have completed the HT/FT double in 43.3% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 22.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +3500 to go to overtime.

• The Cavaliers have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 39 of Cleveland's 67 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of Dallas' 67 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Cleveland recorded a 138-105 blowout victory against Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on March 13. Evan Mobley was prominent on that day, recording 29 points and seven rebounds. The Cavaliers have now won seven straight against the Mavericks.