NBA Prop Bets: Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers (March 22, 2026)

The Portland Trail Blazers (35-36) face the Denver Nuggets (43-28) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Nuggets are favored to win at -360, currently marked as 8.5-point favorites, while the Trail Blazers are at +285. The total points line is set at 242.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 126-117 Denver.

• The Nuggets (-115) have a 39-32-0 ATS record this season, while the Trail Blazers (-105) hold a record of 37-33-1.
• The Nuggets have a 42-28-1 O/U record this season (meaning 42 games have gone over the total points line, 28 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Trail Blazers have a 37-33-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Nuggets are averaging 120.7 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Trail Blazers are averaging only 115.1 (18th).
• Defensively, the Nuggets are giving up 116.5 points per game this season (19th in the league), while the Trail Blazers are giving up an average of 117.1 points (21st).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Nuggets currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 98.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Trail Blazers sit 8th on that scale with 100.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 40.5% of the Nuggets' field goal attempts come from three point range (21st in the league), leaving 59.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers' opponents are taking 39.5% of their attempts from three (7th) and 60.5% from two.
• Comparatively, Portland takes 46.7% of shots from three (4th), leaving 53.3% from two, while Denver's opponents are attempting a similarly high 42.3% from three (22nd) and 57.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Nuggets are shooting 39.2% from deep in 2025/26 (1st in the NBA), compared to the Trail Blazers who are making an underwhelming 33.8% of their attempts (29th).
• On the opposite end, Denver is holding opponents to 34.9% of their three-point attempts (5th), while Portland's opponents are hitting 36.2% of their shots (21st).

Ball Protection

• The Nuggets are committing 13.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 3rd in the league, while the Trail Blazers are forcing 15.5 turnovers (10th).
• Flipping that script, Denver is forcing 12.0 turnovers (30th), while Portland is committing 17.3 (30th).

Crashing the Boards

• Denver is pulling down 43.4 rebounds per game this season (19th in the league), including 9.6 offensive boards (27th). Conversely, Portland's opponents are averaging 43.5 rebounds (13th), 12.2 of which have come on the offensive end (27th).
• Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are averaging 46.0 rebounds (7th) and 14.2 offensive rebounds (2nd), while the Nuggets are allowing 42.8 and 11.2, ranking 8th and 10th.

First Quarter Winner

Denver is -205 to win the first quarter, while Portland is +170. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Denver	43-26-2	23-10-0	20-16-2	31-17-1	12-9-1	5-5-0
Portland	32-34-5	16-15-3	16-19-2	17-11-3	15-23-2	6-3-1

First Half Winner

Denver is -238 to win the first half and Portland is +195. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Denver	39-28-4	23-10-0	16-18-4	30-17-2	9-11-2	4-5-1
Portland	32-37-2	16-17-1	16-20-1	21-8-2	11-29-0	7-2-1

HT/FT

Denver is -220 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Portland is +370.

• The Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 40.8% of games this season, while the Trail Blazers have completed the HT/FT double in 32.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +1900 to go to overtime.

• The Nuggets have played in seven games that went to overtime this season, while the Trail Blazers have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 44 of Denver's 71 games this season. Meanwhile, 40 of Portland's 71 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Denver recorded a 157-103 blowout victory against Portland at Moda Center when these teams last met on February 20. Nikola Jokic dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 32 points and four steals. That result snapped the Trail Blazers' three-game winning streak against the Nuggets at Moda Center.