NBA Prop Bets: Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves (March 22, 2026)
The Minnesota Timberwolves (43-28) face the Boston Celtics (47-23) at TD Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Celtics are favored to win at -410, currently marked as 9.5-point favorites, while the Timberwolves are at +320. The total points line is set at 220.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 115-106 Boston.
- The Celtics (-118) have a 40-30-0 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-102) hold a record of 30-41-0.
- The Celtics have a 25-45-0 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total points line and 45 have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 33-38-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Celtics are averaging 114.4 points per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging +4.2 more at 118.6 points (6th).
- Defensively, the Celtics are giving up only 107.0 points per game this season (1st in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 114.8 points (14th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Celtics currently rank 30th for pace this season, recording 94.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 10th on that scale with 100.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 46.8% of the Celtics' field goal attempts come from three point range (3rd in the league), leaving 53.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking 38.9% of their attempts from three (4th) and 61.1% from two.
- Comparatively, Minnesota takes 42.1% of shots from three (18th), leaving 57.9% from two, while Boston's opponents are attempting 45.2% from three (27th) and 54.8% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Celtics are shooting 36.1% from deep in 2025/26 (11th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 37.2% of their attempts (4th).
- On the opposite end, Boston is holding opponents to 35.7% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Minnesota's opponents are hitting 35.8% of their shots (17th).
Ball Protection
- The Celtics are committing 12.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 1st in the league, while the Timberwolves are forcing 14.9 turnovers (13th).
- Flipping that script, Boston is forcing 12.6 turnovers (29th), while Minnesota is committing 14.9 (20th).
Crashing the Boards
- Boston is pulling down 46.4 rebounds per game this season (4th in the league), including 12.8 offensive boards (6th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 43.0 rebounds (10th), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (19th).
- Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging 44.4 rebounds (12th) and 11.1 offensive rebounds (19th), while the Celtics are allowing 41.6 and 11.0, ranking 6th and 8th.
First Quarter Winner
Boston is -230 to win the first quarter, while Minnesota is +190. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | 43-23-4 | 20-13-1 | 23-10-3 | 30-17-3 | 13-6-1 | 7-3-0 |
| Minnesota | 36-33-2 | 17-19-1 | 19-14-1 | 29-24-2 | 7-9-0 | 5-5-0 |
First Half Winner
Boston is -310 to win the first half and Minnesota is +250. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | 48-18-4 | 23-9-2 | 25-9-2 | 37-11-2 | 11-7-2 | 8-1-1 |
| Minnesota | 36-32-3 | 19-17-1 | 17-15-2 | 27-25-3 | 9-7-0 | 5-4-1 |
HT/FT
Boston is -290 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is +500.
- The Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 54.3% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 35.2% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Sunday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.
- The Celtics have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in three.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 24 of Boston's 70 games this season. Meanwhile, 38 of Minnesota's 71 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Minnesota recorded a 119-115 victory over Boston at Target Center when these teams last met on November 29. Despite being on the losing side, Jaylen Brown dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 41 points and five steals. That result snapped the Celtics' three-game winning streak against the Timberwolves.
NBA Injury News – Minnesota Timberwolves @ Boston Celtics (March 22, 2026)
The Timberwolves reported Anthony Edwards is to miss at least 1-2 weeks.
The Timberwolves listed Reid as Questionable for Sunday's (Mar. 22) game against Boston.
The Celtics listed Brown as Probable for Sunday's (Mar. 22) game against Minnesota.
Vucevic underwent surgery Saturday (Mar. 7) to stabilize a fracture in his right ring finger and will be re-evaluated in 3-to-4 weeks.
