NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs (March 28, 2026)

The San Antonio Spurs (55-19) face the Milwaukee Bucks (29-43) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 18.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 17.5, leaving the Spurs at -1800 and Bucks at +1000. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-105 San Antonio.

• The Bucks (-112) have a 31-41-0 ATS record this season, while the Spurs (-108) hold a record of 42-31-1.
• The Bucks have a 32-40-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 40 have gone under). The Spurs have a 32-42-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Bucks are averaging 110.6 points per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Spurs are averaging +8.7 more at 119.3 points (4th).
• Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 116.6 points per game this season (20th in the league), while the Spurs are giving up an average of 111.5 points (7th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 97.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Spurs sit 11th on that scale with 100.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 44.7% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (12th in the league), leaving 55.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Spurs' opponents are taking 40.6% of their attempts from three (17th) and 59.4% from two.
• Comparatively, San Antonio takes 42.5% of shots from three (13th), leaving 57.5% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting 45.4% from three (28th) and 54.6% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 38.6% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Spurs who are making 35.9% of their attempts (15th).
• On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 37.2% of their three-point attempts (27th), while San Antonio's opponents are doing it tougher, hitting 35.4% of their shots (10th).

Ball Protection

• The Bucks are committing 14.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 18th in the league, while the Spurs are forcing 13.1 turnovers (26th).
• Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing only 13.2 turnovers (25th), while San Antonio is committing just 13.6 (4th).

Crashing the Boards

• Milwaukee is pulling down just 40.8 rebounds per game this season (28th in the league), including 8.8 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, San Antonio's opponents are averaging a paltry 42.7 rebounds (8th), 10.3 of which have come on the offensive end (4th).
• Meanwhile, the Spurs are averaging 47.0 rebounds (2nd) and 11.3 offensive rebounds (15th), while the Bucks are allowing 44.8 and 11.2, ranking 19th and 11th.

First Quarter Winner

Milwaukee is +270 to win the first quarter, while San Antonio is -340. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	27-41-4	13-20-2	14-21-2	12-13-1	15-28-3	0-10-0
San Antonio	50-23-1	25-10-0	25-13-1	39-16-1	11-7-0	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Milwaukee is +525 to win the first half and San Antonio is -750. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	29-43-0	14-21-0	15-22-0	11-15-0	18-28-0	3-7-0
San Antonio	51-22-1	25-9-1	26-13-0	38-17-1	13-5-0	8-1-1

HT/FT

Milwaukee is +1200 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, San Antonio is -1000.

• The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 25.0% of games this season, while the Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 55.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +4000 to go to overtime.

• The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Spurs have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 30 of Milwaukee's 72 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of San Antonio's 73 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

San Antonio recorded a 119-101 victory over Milwaukee at Frost Bank Center when these teams last met on January 15. Victor Wembanyama was prominent on that day, recording 22 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks.