NBA Prop Bets: Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers (March 30, 2026)

The Philadelphia 76ers (41-33) face the Miami Heat (39-36) at Kaseya Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The 76ers opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 2.5, leaving the 76ers at -142 and Heat at +120. The total points line is set at 245.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 124-122 Philadelphia.

• The Heat (-110) have a 42-32-1 ATS record this season, while the 76ers (-110) hold a record of 40-33-1.
• The Heat have a 41-33-1 O/U record this season (meaning 41 games have gone over the total points line, 33 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The 76ers have a 37-36-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Heat are averaging 120.3 points per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the 76ers are averaging only 116.2 (13th).
• Defensively, the Heat are giving up 117.9 points per game this season (22nd in the league), while the 76ers are giving up an average of 116.5 points (19th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Heat currently rank 1st for pace this season, recording 103.6 possessions per game. Alternatively, the 76ers sit 15th on that scale with 99.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 40.3% of the Heat's field goal attempts come from three point range (14th in the league), leaving 59.7% from two. Meanwhile, the 76ers' opponents are taking 42.3% of their attempts from three (19th) and 57.7% from two.
• Comparatively, Philadelphia takes 39.4% of shots from three (20th), leaving 60.6% from two, while Miami's opponents are attempting 42.2% from three (27th) and 57.8% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Heat are shooting 35.7% from deep in 2025/26 (17th in the NBA), compared to the 76ers who are making 35.0% of their attempts (21st).
• On the opposite end, Miami is holding opponents to 35.4% of their three-point attempts (9th), while Philadelphia's opponents are hitting 35.6% of their shots (14th).

Ball Protection

• The Heat are committing 13.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 6th in the league, while the 76ers are forcing 15.6 turnovers (9th).
• Flipping that script, Miami is forcing 15.4 turnovers (10th), while Philadelphia is committing 13.7 (5th).

Crashing the Boards

• Miami is pulling down 46.5 rebounds per game this season (3rd in the league), including 11.9 offensive boards (9th). Conversely, Philadelphia's opponents are averaging 45.1 rebounds (20th), 12.1 of which have come on the offensive end (26th).
• Meanwhile, the 76ers are averaging 43.4 rebounds (17th) and 11.8 offensive rebounds (11th), while the Heat are allowing 46.7 and 11.6, ranking 29th and 20th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the 76ers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Philadelphia holds an 11-3 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 12-2-0 ATS record and 8-6-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Miami has a 9-3 W-L record, 10-2-0 ATS record and 5-7-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Miami is +102 to win the first quarter, while Philadelphia is -122. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Miami	47-27-1	23-14-0	24-13-1	28-10-0	19-17-1	5-5-0
Philadelphia	36-31-7	18-14-6	18-17-1	24-12-3	12-19-4	5-4-1

First Half Winner

Miami is +110 to win the first half and Philadelphia is -130. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Miami	43-30-2	25-11-1	18-19-1	27-11-0	16-19-2	4-6-0
Philadelphia	42-30-2	23-14-1	19-16-1	26-11-2	16-19-0	3-7-0

HT/FT

Miami is +165 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Philadelphia is +105.

• The Heat have completed the HT/FT double in 44.0% of games this season, while the 76ers have completed the HT/FT double in 40.5% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Heat have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the 76ers have appeared in seven.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 49 of Miami's 75 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of Philadelphia's 74 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Philadelphia recorded a 124-117 victory over Miami at Xfinity Mobile Arena when these teams last met on February 26. Tyrese Maxey facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 28 points and 11 assists. That result snapped the Heat's five-game winning streak against the 76ers.