NBA Prop Bets: Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves (March 30, 2026)
The Minnesota Timberwolves (45-29) face the Dallas Mavericks (24-50) at American Airlines Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 7.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -290 and Mavericks at +235. The total points line is set at 235.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-114 Minnesota.
- The Mavericks (-110) have a 33-40-1 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-110) hold a record of 32-42-0.
- The Mavericks have a 33-41-0 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total points line and 41 have gone under). The Timberwolves also have a 33-41-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mavericks are averaging 113.9 points per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging +4.0 more at 117.9 points (7th).
- Defensively, the Mavericks are giving up 118.9 points per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 114.4 points (11th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Mavericks currently rank 5th for pace this season, recording 101.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 10th on that scale with 100.4 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, just 35.1% of the Mavericks' field goal attempts come from three point range (27th in the league), leaving 64.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking only 38.7% of their attempts from three (4th) and 61.3% from two.
- Comparatively, Minnesota takes 42.0% of shots from three (17th), leaving 58.0% from two, while Dallas' opponents are attempting 39.1% from three (16th) and 60.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Mavericks are shooting an underwhelming 34.4% from deep in 2025/26 (27th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 36.9% of their attempts (5th).
- On the opposite end, Dallas is holding opponents to 34.7% of their three-point attempts (3rd), while Minnesota's opponents are hitting 35.6% of their shots (15th).
Ball Protection
- The Mavericks are committing 14.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 18th in the league, while the Timberwolves are forcing 15.0 turnovers (12th).
- Flipping that script, Dallas is forcing 13.4 turnovers (24th), while Minnesota is committing 14.9 (19th).
Crashing the Boards
- Dallas is pulling down 44.5 rebounds per game this season (11th in the league), including 10.3 offensive boards (23rd). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 43.4 rebounds (13th), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (21st).
- Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging an impressive 44.6 rebounds (10th) and 11.2 offensive rebounds (17th), while the Mavericks are allowing 46.5 and 12.1, ranking 27th and 27th.
First Quarter Winner
Dallas is +130 to win the first quarter, while Minnesota is -155. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 25-47-2 | 13-23-1 | 12-24-1 | 11-11-0 | 14-36-2 | 4-6-0 |
| Minnesota | 37-35-2 | 18-20-1 | 19-15-1 | 29-24-2 | 8-11-0 | 4-6-0 |
First Half Winner
Dallas is +154 to win the first half and Minnesota is -185. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 26-47-1 | 13-23-1 | 13-24-0 | 11-11-0 | 15-36-1 | 5-5-0 |
| Minnesota | 38-33-3 | 20-18-1 | 18-15-2 | 27-25-3 | 11-8-0 | 6-3-1 |
HT/FT
Dallas is +310 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is -170.
- The Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 23.0% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 36.5% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +1700 to go to overtime.
- The Mavericks have played in six games that went to overtime this season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in four.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 42 of Dallas' 74 games this season. Meanwhile, 38 of Minnesota's 74 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Minnesota recorded a 122-111 victory over Dallas at Target Center when these teams last met on February 20. Rudy Gobert cleaned the glass on that day, finishing with 17 rebounds, as well as 22 points and three blocks. The Timberwolves have now won five straight against the Mavericks.
NBA Injury News – Minnesota Timberwolves @ Dallas Mavericks (March 30, 2026)
The Timberwolves listed Edwards as Questionable for Monday's (Mar. 30) game against Dallas.
The Timberwolves listed McDaniels as OUT for Monday's (Mar. 30) game against Dallas.
The Timberwolves listed Dosunmu as Questionable for Monday's (Mar. 30) game against Dallas.
The Mavericks listed Marshall as Probable for Monday's (Mar. 30) game against Minnesota.
The Mavericks listed Gafford as Probable for Monday's (Mar. 30) game against Minnesota.
The Mavericks listed Bagley III as Questionable for Monday's (Mar. 30) game against Minnesota.
The Mavericks listed Martin as Doubtful for Monday's (Mar. 30) game against Minnesota.
The Mavericks said on Wednesday (Feb. 18) that Irving is OUT for the season, per ESPN's Shams Charania.
The Mavericks announced on Sunday (Dec. 21) that Lively II has successfully underwent foot surgery.
