NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies (April 5, 2026)

The Memphis Grizzlies (25-52) face the Milwaukee Bucks (30-47) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Bucks are favored to win at -225, currently marked as 5.5-point favorites, while the Grizzlies are at +185. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-111 Milwaukee.

• The Bucks (-110) have a 34-43-0 ATS record this season, while the Grizzlies (-110) hold a record of 36-40-1.
• The Bucks have a 35-42-0 O/U record this season (meaning 35 games have gone over the total points line and 42 have gone under). The Grizzlies have a 38-38-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Bucks are averaging 110.5 points per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Grizzlies are averaging +4.3 more at 114.8 points (T18th).
• Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 116.9 points per game this season (21st in the league), while the Grizzlies are giving up an average of 119.6 points (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 97.6 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Grizzlies sit 7th on that scale with 101.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 45.3% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (10th in the league), leaving 54.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies' opponents are taking 42.7% of their attempts from three (24th) and 57.3% from two.
• Comparatively, Memphis takes 43.0% of shots from three (9th), leaving 57.0% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting 45.1% from three (28th) and 54.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 38.7% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Grizzlies who are making 35.3% of their attempts (21st).
• On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 37.4% of their three-point attempts (28th), while Memphis' opponents are hitting 36.3% of their shots (21st).

Ball Protection

• The Bucks are committing 15.0 turnovers per game this season, ranking 20th in the league, while the Grizzlies are forcing 15.6 turnovers (8th).
• Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing 13.1 turnovers (25th), while Memphis is committing 15.2 (22nd).

Crashing the Boards

• Milwaukee is pulling down 40.7 rebounds per game this season (28th in the league), including 8.8 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Memphis' opponents are averaging 46.3 rebounds (26th), 12.7 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
• Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are averaging 42.4 rebounds (22nd) and 11.2 offensive rebounds (16th), while the Bucks are allowing 44.8 and 11.1, ranking 19th and 10th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	28-45-4	14-23-2	14-22-2	12-13-1	16-32-3	1-9-0
Memphis	28-45-4	14-25-1	14-20-3	10-8-2	18-37-2	1-9-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	30-47-0	15-24-0	15-23-0	11-15-0	19-32-0	3-7-0
Memphis	29-44-4	15-22-3	14-22-1	12-8-0	17-36-4	0-9-1

HT/FT

Milwaukee is -145 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Memphis is +260.

• The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 24.7% of games this season, while the Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 18.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +1700 to go to overtime.

• The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Grizzlies have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Milwaukee's 77 games this season. Meanwhile, 43 of Memphis' 77 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Memphis recorded a 125-104 blowout victory against Milwaukee at FedExForum when these teams last met on December 26. Jaren Jackson Jr. had a block party on that day, finishing with five blocks to go along with 24 points. The Grizzlies have now won eight straight against the Bucks.