NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets (April 5, 2026)

The Houston Rockets (48-29) face the Golden State Warriors (36-41) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Rockets are favored to win at -162, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Warriors are at +136. The total points line is set at 225.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-111 Houston.

• The Warriors (-108) have a 33-43-1 ATS record this season, while the Rockets (-112) hold a record of 33-44-0.
• The Warriors have a 45-31-1 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total points line, 31 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Rockets have a 35-42-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 114.8 points per game this season (T18th in the league). Comparatively, the Rockets are averaging 114.8 (20th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 115.1 points per game this season (13th in the league), while the Rockets are giving up an average of 109.9 points (4th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 16th for pace this season, recording 99.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Rockets sit 29th on that scale with 95.9 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 50.0% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (1st in the league), leaving 50.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Rockets' opponents are taking 39.9% of their attempts from three (7th) and 60.1% from two.
• Comparatively, Houston takes only 35.0% of shots from three (28th), leaving 65.0% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting a similarly low 40.6% from three (9th) and 59.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 35.6% from deep in 2025/26 (19th in the NBA), compared to the Rockets who are making 36.6% of their attempts (7th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 35.7% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Houston's opponents are hitting 35.2% of their shots (6th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 28th in the league, while the Rockets are forcing 13.5 turnovers (23rd).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 16.0 turnovers (6th), while Houston is committing a potentially problematic 15.4 per contest (25th).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down 42.6 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (14th). Conversely, Houston's opponents are averaging 39.8 rebounds (2nd), 11.5 of which have come on the offensive end (18th).
• Meanwhile, the Rockets are averaging 48.0 rebounds (1st) and 15.0 offensive rebounds (1st), while the Warriors are allowing 44.5 and 11.5, ranking 18th and 19th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	34-39-4	16-20-2	18-19-2	22-21-4	12-18-0	6-4-0
Houston	43-29-5	21-15-2	22-14-3	39-24-4	4-5-1	6-3-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	40-37-0	20-18-0	20-19-0	28-19-0	12-18-0	3-7-0
Houston	44-31-2	23-15-0	21-16-2	40-26-1	4-5-1	7-3-0

HT/FT

Golden State is +180 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Houston is +100.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 36.4% of games this season, while the Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 44.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Warriors have played in five games that went to overtime this season, while the Rockets have appeared in eight.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 41 of Golden State's 77 games this season. Meanwhile, 25 of Houston's 77 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 115-113 overtime victory over Houston at Toyota Center when these teams last met on March 5. Despite being on the losing side, Amen Thompson was prominent on that day, recording 18 points, 10 rebounds, five assists and four steals.