NBA Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat (April 7, 2026)
The Miami Heat (41-37) face the Toronto Raptors (43-35) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Heat opened as 1.5-point favorites, but the Raptors have moved into favoritism at -120, with the spread currently set at 1.5. The Heat are +100. The total points line is set at 239.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-119 Toronto.
- The Raptors (+100) have a 40-38-0 ATS record this season, while the Heat (-120) hold a record of 43-34-1.
- The Raptors have a 30-47-1 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line, 47 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Heat have a 43-34-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Raptors are averaging 114.4 points per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Heat are averaging +6.4 more at 120.8 points (2nd).
- Defensively, the Raptors are giving up 112.1 points per game this season (9th in the league), while the Heat are giving up an average of 118.4 points (22nd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Raptors currently rank 21st for pace this season, recording 98.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Heat sit 1st on that scale with 103.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 36.5% of the Raptors' field goal attempts come from three point range (25th in the league), leaving 63.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Heat's opponents are taking 42.2% of their attempts from three (27th) and 57.8% from two.
- Comparatively, Miami takes 40.5% of shots from three (14th), leaving 59.5% from two, while Toronto's opponents are attempting 41.7% from three (10th) and 58.3% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Raptors are shooting 35.1% from deep in 2025/26 (22nd in the NBA), compared to the Heat who are making 36.0% of their attempts (13th).
- On the opposite end, Toronto is holding opponents to 35.2% of their three-point attempts (8th), while Miami's opponents are hitting 35.6% of their shots (13th).
Ball Protection
- The Raptors are committing 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 8th in the league, while the Heat are forcing 15.2 turnovers (10th).
- Flipping that script, Toronto is forcing 16.2 turnovers (5th), while Miami is committing 13.6 (5th).
Crashing the Boards
- Toronto is pulling down 42.1 rebounds per game this season (T24th in the league), including 11.0 offensive boards (18th). Conversely, Miami's opponents are averaging 46.6 rebounds (27th), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (20th).
- Meanwhile, the Heat are averaging 46.6 rebounds (3rd) and 11.9 offensive rebounds (10th), while the Raptors are allowing 43.1 and 11.1, ranking 11th and 9th.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 42-32-4 | 22-16-0 | 20-16-4 | 29-16-1 | 13-16-3 | 5-4-1 |
| Miami | 49-28-1 | 25-15-0 | 24-13-1 | 29-10-0 | 20-18-1 | 5-5-0 |
First Half Winner
Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 41-37-0 | 22-16-0 | 19-21-0 | 29-17-0 | 12-20-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Miami | 44-32-2 | 26-13-1 | 18-19-1 | 28-11-0 | 16-21-2 | 3-7-0 |
HT/FT
Toronto is +125 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Miami is +140.
- The Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 41.0% of games this season, while the Heat have completed the HT/FT double in 43.6% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Tuesday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.
- The Raptors have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Heat have appeared in one.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 29 of Toronto's 78 games this season. Meanwhile, 51 of Miami's 78 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Toronto recorded a 112-91 blowout victory against Miami at Kaseya Center when these teams last met on December 23. Scottie Barnes was influential on that day, recording 27 points, eight rebounds and four assists.
NBA Injury News – Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors (April 7, 2026)
The Heat listed Herro as Probable for Tuesday's (Apr. 7) game against Toronto.
The Heat listed Powell as Probable for Tuesday's (Apr. 7) game against Toronto.
The Heat listed Jovic as OUT for Tuesday's (Apr. 7) game against Toronto.
The Raptors listed Quickley as Questionable for Tuesday's (Apr. 7) game against Miami.
The Raptors listed Murray-Boyles as Questionable for Tuesday's (Apr. 7) game against Miami.
The Raptors listed Mamukelashvili as Questionable for Tuesday's (Apr. 7) game against Miami.
The Raptors listed Hepburn as OUT for Tuesday's (Apr. 7) game against Miami.
