NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings (April 7, 2026)

The Sacramento Kings (21-58) face the Golden State Warriors (36-42) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Warriors are favored to win at -1050, currently marked as 15.5-point favorites, while the Kings are at +675. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 125-110 Golden State.

• The Warriors (-110) have a 34-43-1 ATS record this season, while the Kings (-110) hold a record of 33-45-1.
• The Warriors have a 46-31-1 O/U record this season (meaning 46 games have gone over the total points line, 31 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Kings have a 40-39-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 114.8 points per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Kings are averaging 110.9 (28th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 115.1 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Kings are giving up an average of 121.2 points (27th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 19th for pace this season, recording 99.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Kings sit 16th on that scale with 99.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 50.0% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (1st in the league), leaving 50.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Kings' opponents are taking 40.8% of their attempts from three (12th) and 59.2% from two.
• Comparatively, Sacramento takes only 33.8% of shots from three (30th), leaving 66.2% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting a similarly low 40.6% from three (9th) and 59.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 35.6% from deep in 2025/26 (20th in the NBA), compared to the Kings who are making 33.9% of their attempts (30th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 35.8% of their three-point attempts (16th), while Sacramento's opponents are hitting 37.9% of their shots (29th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 28th in the league, while the Kings are forcing 13.9 turnovers (20th).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 15.9 turnovers (6th), while Sacramento is committing 14.3 (13th).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down 42.5 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (15th). Conversely, Sacramento's opponents are averaging 44.1 rebounds (17th), 11.1 of which have come on the offensive end (8th).
• Meanwhile, the Kings are averaging 42.1 rebounds (23rd) and 11.4 offensive rebounds (13th), while the Warriors are allowing 44.4 and 11.5, ranking 18th and 19th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	35-39-4	17-20-2	18-19-2	22-21-4	13-18-0	6-4-0
Sacramento	29-47-3	19-20-1	10-27-2	3-6-0	26-41-3	2-8-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	40-38-0	20-19-0	20-19-0	28-19-0	12-19-0	2-8-0
Sacramento	23-54-2	12-27-1	11-27-1	3-5-1	20-49-1	1-9-0

HT/FT

Golden State is -1000 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Sacramento is +1100.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 35.9% of games this season, while the Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 16.5% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +3000 to go to overtime.

• The Warriors have played in five games that went to overtime this season, while the Kings have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 42 of Golden State's 78 games this season. Meanwhile, 39 of Sacramento's 79 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 137-103 blowout victory against Sacramento at Chase Center when these teams last met on January 9. Stephen Curry facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 27 points and 10 assists.