NBA Prop Bets: San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets (April 12, 2026)

The Denver Nuggets (53-28) face the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Frost Bank Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Spurs at -180 and Nuggets at +150. The total points line is set at 237.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 121-116 San Antonio.

• The Spurs (-110) have a 47-33-2 ATS record this season, while the Nuggets (-110) hold a record of 43-38-0.
• The Spurs have a 35-47-0 O/U record this season (meaning 35 games have gone over the total points line and 47 have gone under). The Nuggets have a 50-30-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Spurs are averaging 119.9 points per game this season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Nuggets are averaging 122.0 (1st).
• Defensively, the Spurs are giving up 111.3 points per game this season (7th in the league), while the Nuggets are giving up an average of 116.9 points (21st).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Spurs currently rank 12th for pace this season, recording 99.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Nuggets sit 21st on that scale with 98.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.1% of the Spurs' field goal attempts come from three point range (15th in the league), leaving 57.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Nuggets' opponents are taking 42.8% of their attempts from three (26th) and 57.2% from two.
• Comparatively, Denver takes 40.9% of shots from three (20th), leaving 59.1% from two, while San Antonio's opponents are attempting 40.7% from three (17th) and 59.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Spurs are shooting 36.0% from deep in 2025/26 (13th in the NBA), compared to the Nuggets who are making 39.6% of their attempts (1st).
• On the opposite end, San Antonio is holding opponents to 35.2% of their three-point attempts (7th), while Denver's opponents are hitting 34.9% of their shots (3rd).

Ball Protection

• The Spurs are committing just 13.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 4th in the league. As such, the Nuggets aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 11.8 turnovers per contest (30th).
• Flipping that script, San Antonio is forcing only 13.0 turnovers (26th), while Denver is committing just 12.9 (3rd).

Crashing the Boards

• San Antonio is pulling down 47.0 rebounds per game this season (2nd in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (14th). Conversely, Denver's opponents are averaging 42.8 rebounds (9th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (12th).
• Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging 43.8 rebounds (15th) and 9.7 offensive rebounds (26th), while the Spurs are allowing 42.4 and 10.3, ranking 8th and 4th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	58-23-1	29-10-0	29-13-1	46-16-1	12-7-0	10-0-0
Denver	49-30-2	28-13-0	21-17-2	37-20-1	12-10-1	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
San Antonio	59-22-1	29-9-1	30-13-0	45-17-1	14-5-0	10-0-0
Denver	44-32-5	26-14-1	18-18-4	35-20-3	9-12-2	5-4-1

HT/FT

• The Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 58.5% of games this season, while the Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 42.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Spurs have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Nuggets have appeared in nine.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 40 of San Antonio's 81 games this season. Meanwhile, 52 of Denver's 81 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Denver recorded a 136-134 overtime victory over San Antonio at Ball Arena when these teams last met on April 4. Despite being on the losing side, Victor Wembanyama came up big on that day, scoring 34 points and adding 18 rebounds. That result snapped the Spurs' three-game winning streak against the Nuggets at Ball Arena.