NBA Prop Bets: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons (May 11, 2026)

The Detroit Pistons face the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semi-finals at Rocket Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Cavaliers are favored to win at -155, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Pistons are at +130. The total points line is set at 213.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 108-105 Cleveland.

• The Cavaliers (-110) have a 36-55-1 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Pistons (-110) hold a record of 49-43-0.
• The Cavaliers have a 46-46-0 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 46 games have gone over the total points line and 46 have gone under). The Pistons have a 42-48-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• Cleveland has averaged 109.7 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 109.8. Comparatively, Detroit has scored 104.4 per game and allowed 99.8. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Cavaliers' playoff-high is 126 while their playoff-low is 89. Meanwhile, the Pistons' high is 116 and low is 88.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 45.4% of the Cavaliers' field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 54.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Pistons' opponents have taken 41.5% of their attempts from three and 58.5% from two.
• Comparatively, Detroit has taken 34.8% of shots from three, leaving 65.2% from two, while Cleveland's opponents have attempted 33.3% from three and 66.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Cavaliers have shot 33.6% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Pistons who are making 35.2% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, Cleveland has held opponents to 37.3% of their three-point attempts, while Detroit's opponents have hit 32.6% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Cavaliers are committing 16.7 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Pistons have forced 14.6 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, Cleveland is forcing 15.0 turnovers, while Detroit is committing 15.6.

Crashing the Boards

• Cleveland is pulling down 42.3 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 11.5 offensive boards. Conversely, Detroit's opponents are averaging 40.1 rebounds, 10.4 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Pistons have averaged 45.6 rebounds and 13.1 offensive rebounds, while the Cavaliers are allowing 40.9 and 12.5.

First Quarter Winner

Cleveland is -130 to win the first quarter, while Detroit is +110. Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Cleveland	5-4-1	4-1-0	1-3-1	5-2-1	0-2-0
Detroit	6-3-1	4-2-0	2-1-1	6-2-1	0-1-0

First Half Winner

Cleveland is -142 to win the first half and Detroit is +120. Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Cleveland	3-5-2	3-1-1	0-4-1	3-3-2	0-2-0
Detroit	4-5-1	4-1-1	0-4-0	4-4-1	0-1-0

HT/FT

Cleveland is -105 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Detroit is +185.

• The Cavaliers have completed the HT/FT double in 42.4% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Pistons have completed the HT/FT double in 60.9% of games. During the playoffs, Cleveland has completed the HT/FT double in three of 10 games, while Detroit has completed the HT/FT double in four of 10 contests.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Cavaliers have played in four games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Pistons have appeared in five. Detroit is yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season's playoffs. Meanwhile, Cleveland has appeared in one.

Last Time They Met

The Cavaliers recorded a 116-109 victory over the Pistons at Rocket Arena on Saturday. Despite that result, the Pistons still lead the series 2-1. Despite being on the losing side, Cade Cunningham had a triple-double for the ages on that day, finishing with 27 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists.