NBA Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder (May 11, 2026)

The Oklahoma City Thunder face the Los Angeles Lakers in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semi-finals at Crypto.com Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Thunder are favored to win at -520, currently marked as 10.5-point favorites, while the Lakers are at +390. The total points line is set at 214.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-102 Oklahoma City.

• The Lakers (-105) have a 48-41-2 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Thunder (-115) hold a record of 44-45-0.
• The Lakers have a 45-44-2 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 45 games have gone over the total points line, 44 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Thunder have a 49-40-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Lakers have averaged 101.3 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 106.2. Comparatively, Oklahoma City has scored 122.1 per game and allowed 103.9. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Lakers' playoff-high is 112 while their playoff-low is 90. Meanwhile, the Thunder's high is 131 and low is 108.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 34.6% of the Lakers' field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 65.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Thunder's opponents have taken 40.6% of their attempts from three and 59.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Oklahoma City has taken 42.3% of shots from three, leaving 57.7% from two, while the Lakers' opponents have attempted 39.0% from three and 61.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Lakers have shot 38.8% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Thunder who are making 38.7% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, the Lakers have held opponents to 34.3% of their three-point attempts, while Oklahoma City's opponents have hit 36.0% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Lakers are committing 18.0 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Thunder have forced 17.1 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, the Lakers are forcing 13.7 turnovers, while Oklahoma City is committing 11.9.

Crashing the Boards

• The Lakers are pulling down 39.7 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 10.6 offensive boards. Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 38.4 rebounds, 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Thunder have averaged 42.1 rebounds and 11.7 offensive rebounds, while the Lakers are allowing 40.9 and 12.3.

First Quarter Winner

The Lakers are +164 to win the first quarter, while Oklahoma City is -198. Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	5-4-0	3-1-0	2-3-0	1-0-0	4-4-0
Oklahoma City	7-0-0	4-0-0	3-0-0	7-0-0	0-0-0

First Half Winner

The Lakers are +235 to win the first half and Oklahoma City is -290. Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	6-3-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	0-1-0	6-2-0
Oklahoma City	5-2-0	3-1-0	2-1-0	5-2-0	0-0-0

HT/FT

The Lakers are +475 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Oklahoma City is -275.

• The Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in 44.0% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 62.9% of games. During the playoffs, the Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in four of nine games, while Oklahoma City has completed the HT/FT double in five of seven contests.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +2200 to go to overtime.

• The Lakers have played in two games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Thunder have appeared in five. Oklahoma City is yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season's playoffs. Meanwhile, the Lakers have appeared in one.

Last Time They Met

The Thunder recorded a lopsided 131-108 victory against the Lakers at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday. The Thunder now hold a 3-0 series lead. Ajay Mitchell took over on that day, finishing with 24 points, 10 assists and three steals. The Thunder have now won eight straight against the Lakers.