NBA Prop Bets: Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks (October 21, 2026)
The Dallas Mavericks (0-0) face the Houston Rockets (0-0) at Toyota Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 7.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 9.5, leaving the Rockets at -425 and Mavericks at +330. The total points line is set at 230.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-110 Houston.
- The Rockets (-118) had a 38-50-0 ATS record last season, while the Mavericks (-102) held a record of 36-44-2.
- The Rockets had a 41-47-0 O/U record last season (meaning 41 games went over the total points line and 47 went under). The Mavericks had a 37-45-0 O/U record last season.
Scoring Insights
- The Rockets scored 115.2 points per game last season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks averaged 114.1 (23rd).
- Defensively, the Rockets allowed only 110.0 points per game last season (4th in the league), while the Mavericks gave up an average of 119.6 points (23rd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams played last season?
Pace
- The Rockets ranked 29th for pace last season, recording 96.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks were 4th on that scale with 101.7 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 35.0% of the Rockets' field goal attempts came from three point range (28th in the league), leaving 65.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents recorded 38.9% of their attempts from three (15th) and 61.1% from two.
- Comparatively, Dallas took only 35.5% of shots from three (27th), leaving 64.5% from two, while Houston's opponents attempted a similarly low 40.1% from three (7th) and 59.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets shot 36.4% from deep last season (10th in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who made an underwhelming 34.4% of their attempts (26th).
- On the opposite end, Houston held opponents to 35.1% of their three-point attempts (7th), while Dallas' opponents hit 35.0% of their shots (6th).
Ball Protection
- The Rockets committed 15.4 turnovers per game last season, ranking 24th in the league, while the Mavericks forced 13.4 turnovers (24th).
- Flipping that script, Houston forced 13.4 turnovers (23rd), while Dallas committed 14.5 (18th).
Crashing the Boards
- Houston recorded 48.1 rebounds per game last season (1st in the league), including 15.0 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Dallas' opponents averaged 46.8 rebounds (28th), 12.0 of which came on the offensive end (25th).
- Meanwhile, the Mavericks averaged 44.7 rebounds (10th) and 10.5 offensive rebounds (22nd), while the Rockets allowed 39.5 and 11.3, ranking 2nd and 17th.
First Quarter Winner
Houston is -205 to win the first quarter, while Dallas is +170. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 46-37-5 | 24-18-2 | 22-19-3 | 42-31-4 | 4-6-1 |
| Dallas | 27-53-2 | 15-25-1 | 12-28-1 | 12-12-0 | 15-41-2 |
First Half Winner
Houston is -278 to win the first half and Dallas is +225. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 50-36-2 | 27-17-0 | 23-19-2 | 45-31-1 | 5-5-1 |
| Dallas | 28-53-1 | 15-25-1 | 13-28-0 | 12-12-0 | 16-41-1 |
HT/FT
Houston is -225 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +370.
- The Rockets completed the HT/FT double in 44.3% of games last season, while the Mavericks completed the HT/FT double in 23.2% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Wednesday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.
- The Rockets played in nine games that went to overtime last season, while the Mavericks appeared in six.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams scored 110+ points in 27 of Houston's 88 games last season. Meanwhile, 46 of Dallas' 82 games saw both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Houston recorded a 111-107 victory over Dallas at Toyota Center when these teams last met on January 31, 2026. Despite being on the losing side, Cooper Flagg came up big on that day, scoring 34 points and adding 12 rebounds. The Rockets have now won four straight at Toyota Center against the Mavericks.
NBA Injury News – Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets (October 21, 2026)
The Mavericks said on Wednesday (Oct. 14) that Aldama's formal timeline for his return to game action has yet to be established.
The Mavericks listed Lively II as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 21) game against Houston.
The Mavericks listed Martin as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 21) game against Houston.
The Mavericks listed Howard as Doubtful for Wednesday's (Oct. 21) game against Houston.
The Mavericks listed Biberovic as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 21) game against Houston.
The Rockets listed Adams as Questionable for Wednesday's (Oct. 21) game against Dallas.
The Rockets listed Phillips as Questionable for Wednesday's (Oct. 21) game against Dallas.
