NBA Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors (October 21, 2026)

The Golden State Warriors (0-0) face the Los Angeles Lakers (0-0) at Crypto.com Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Lakers opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.5, leaving the Lakers at -230 and Warriors at +190. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-114 LA Lakers.

• The Lakers (-112) had a 49-41-2 ATS record last season, while the Warriors (-108) held a record of 36-48-0.
• The Lakers had a 46-45-1 O/U record last season (meaning 46 games went over the total points line, 45 went under and one resulted in a push). The Warriors had a 48-35-1 O/U record last season.

Scoring Insights

• The Lakers averaged 116.3 points per game last season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors averaged only 114.6 (22nd).
• Defensively, the Lakers allowed 114.6 points per game last season (11th in the league), while the Warriors gave up an average of 115.2 points (14th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams played last season?

Pace

• The Lakers ranked 22nd for pace last season, recording 98.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors were 19th on that scale with 99.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, just 39.4% of the Lakers' field goal attempts came from three point range (24th in the league), leaving 60.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents recorded only 40.6% of their attempts from three (9th) and 59.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State took 49.7% of shots from three (1st), leaving 50.3% from two, while the Lakers' opponents attempted 41.3% from three (12th) and 58.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Lakers shot 35.9% from deep last season (14th in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who made 35.6% of their attempts (20th).
• On the opposite end, the Lakers held opponents to 35.2% of their three-point attempts (9th), while Golden State's opponents hit 36.0% of their shots (19th).

Ball Protection

• The Lakers committed 14.5 turnovers per game last season, ranking T15th in the league, while the Warriors forced 15.9 turnovers (6th).
• Flipping that script, the Lakers forced 14.6 turnovers (14th), while Golden State committed 15.7 (T27th).

Crashing the Boards

• The Lakers recorded 41.0 rebounds per game last season (27th in the league), including 9.4 offensive boards (29th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents averaged 44.2 rebounds (18th), 11.5 of which came on the offensive end (18th).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors averaged 42.3 rebounds (21st) and 11.4 offensive rebounds (15th), while the Lakers allowed 41.0 and 10.9, ranking 5th and 7th.

First Quarter Winner

The Lakers are -155 to win the first quarter, while Golden State is +130. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
LA Lakers	45-43-4	22-21-3	23-22-1	30-17-4	15-26-0
Golden State	36-44-4	17-22-2	19-22-2	22-24-4	14-20-0

First Half Winner

The Lakers are -198 to win the first half and Golden State is +164. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	44-44-4	26-19-1	18-25-3	27-23-1	17-21-3
Golden State	41-43-0	21-20-0	20-23-0	29-21-0	12-22-0

HT/FT

The Lakers are -140 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Golden State is +255.

• The Lakers completed the HT/FT double in 43.5% of games last season, while the Warriors completed the HT/FT double in 34.5% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1800 to go to overtime.

• The Lakers played in two games that went to overtime last season, while the Warriors appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams scored 110+ points in 40 of the Lakers' 92 games last season. Meanwhile, 45 of Golden State's 84 games saw both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

The Lakers recorded a 119-103 victory over Golden State at Chase Center when these teams last met on April 9, 2026. LeBron James facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 26 points and 11 assists. The Lakers have now won three straight against the Warriors.